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  • 2009 Volume 31 Issue 8
    Published: 15 August 2009
      

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    LIU Litao, SHEN Lei
    2009, 31(8): 1264-1271.
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    This article discusses the challenges of sustainable energy in China, identifies some major paths for the sustainable development of energy, and establishes a sustainability evaluation system for sustainable energy policies in four aspects, including the integrity of the energy decision-making, energy supply security, the sustainability of energy consumption, and the energy technology and education. On the basis of quantitative evaluation by using an index system, the development stages of sustainable energy policies in China and their disadvantages are analyzed. It is presented that the energy policies in China can be divided into three periods: the first period is from 1974 to 1985, during which the objective of energy security is focused on and economic profit is also in consideration; the second period is from 1986 to 1998, when economic profit and environmental performance are given priority and much more attention is paid to the energy security; the third period was from 1999 till present, when the core objective of energy security is emphasized and economic profit, environmental performance and social development are also in concern. Moreover, it is found that there are four key challenges for the sustainable development of energy in China, including aggravated imbalance between energy supply and demand, rapid increase and fluctuation in energy prices, the heavy burden of industrialization and huge environmental pressure. To cope with these challenges, it is suggested that a more sustainable energy policy should be developed, in order to coordinate the relationship between of energy supply security, economic competitiveness and environmental sustainability as well as to develop these aspects in China. Also a sustainable energy policy index system is built in this article. The system is made up of 62 indicators, which are divided into two levels: the first level consists of 4 tiers of indices and the second level has 8 indices. Through the quantitative evaluation of this index system, it is suggested that the overall status of energy policies is not sustainable, because the total score is below 60 points. To specify, the result in the transitional stage is between 60 and 90 points, while the result in the sustainable stage is just above 90 points. Therefore, it is concluded that the current energy policies of China is in the transitional phase with the total score of sustainable energy policies index of 66.93. Finally, three available options are put forward to realize the sustainable development of energy, which are speeding up the coal-based low-carbon economy, improving energy market mechanism and promoting green energy consumption.
  • paper
    BI Yuyun, GAO Chunyu, LI Gang, LI Jianzheng, WANG Yajing
    2009, 31(8): 1272-1279.
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    Rural household biogas uses human and livestock manure as raw materials and its main products include biogas and biogas fertilizer. Suitable air and soil temperature is the necessary condition for household biogas digesters to generate gas safely and run normally. The low temperature and the frozen soil in winter or cold seasons are the main natural factors influencing the development of rural household biogas. According to the natural suitability, the development of household biogas can be divided into three different regions in rural China on the basis of regional principles, such as security, efficiency, conjugacy and integrity of the administrative regions, as well as regional indicator, such as frozen soil and temperature,. The naturally suitable regions are located in south China; conditionally suitable regions are in north China and west Sichuan - east Tibet Plateau; while the unsuitable regions in China are the cold area. Meanwhile, each region has some different sub-regions. It is not necessary to provide heat-retaining condition in naturally suitable regions, considering the heat preservation of household biogas digesters in winter. However, in conditionally suitable regions, to satisfy the heat-retaining condition is very important. In unsuitable regions, due to the low temperature, it is unsuitable to develop household biogas even if fully-closed heating barn is put up. Moreover, naturally suitable region in south China is further divided into three different sub-regions, which are the best level of naturally suitable sub-region in south China (including Southeastern Tibet), the medium level of naturally suitable sub-region in South of Changjiang River (including Sichuan Plateau) and the third level of naturally suitable sub-region in Han and Huaihe River valley. The conditionally suitable region is divided into five different sub-regions, including simply thermal suitable region in the area from north China plain to Loess Plateau and others, and Western Sichuan - Eastern Tibet Plateau is divided into two sub-regions including the high latitude cold area in northwestern part of northeast China and Tibetan Plateau high elevation cold area. Every region and its sub-regions are analyzed in different aspects, including the basic situation, natural suitability of household biogas development, basic requirements of building and heat preservation in winter of household biogas digesters. This study can provide scientific basis and decision guidance for the development of household biogas in the rural areas of China.
  • paper
    CHUAI Xiaowei, HUANG Xianjin, WANG Qianqian, ZHONG Taiyang
    2009, 31(8): 1280-1285.
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    The energy source is the base for the economic development of a country, the shortage of energy as well as the unreasonable energy structure will directly affect the economy development and national security, With the fast economic development, accelerating industrialization and urbanization, upgraded industrial structure and consumption pattern, there is overexpansion in high energy-consuming production and lifestyle; therefore the demand for energy increase largely, bringing energy industry into development. The energy demand in China keep rising year by year and till now, China has become the second largest energy consumer in the world, ranking right behind the US. In this paper, some mathematical methods such as Shannon’s entropy, balance degree as well as degree of dominance are employed in the study of energy structure. These methods are used to analyze quantitative and structural changes in both the production and the consumption of energy from 1991 to 2006. The results show that: 1) there is an annual increase in the total energy demand in China and the gap between demand and supply is enlarging; 2) In term of energy consumption structure, the proportion of coal consumption is declining slowly, while the proportions of petroleum, natural gas and electric power are growing. The Shannon’s entropies of consumption structure show a rising trend between 1991 and 2002, while those between 2003 and 2006 are lower than the peak in 2002. On a whole, the change is mild and the balance degree has risen slightly, indicating that the change in energy structure isn’t significant and coal resource still plays a major role. However, the structure is developing towards a more diversified and reasonable direction. Nine influencing factors of three aspects are selected to carry out the analysis in SPSS software. These factors are the GDP per capita, the output value proportion of the second and third industry, of the architecture industry, of the wholesale retail trade, the research and experimental funds proportion, the number of patented claim authorization, the number of people involving in scientific and technological activities from 1991 to 2006. The result indicates that the level of economic development, technological progress and industrial structure greatly influence the energy consumption structure. In future development, measures such as improving industrial structure, increasing the investment in science and technology, energy conservation and the development and use of new energy should be adopted to optimize the energy structure and ensure the national security.
  • paper
    SHI Lei, WEI Yan
    2009, 31(8): 1286-1294.
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    Human activities interfere more and more with elements flows due to the industrial development and technological improvement in China. Elemental flows analysis can help us identify effective measures to slow down the depletion of natural resources and reduce adverse environmental impacts in specific links. In this article, first the national elemental flows of China in 2005 is calculated; then the degree to which human activities interfere with elemental flows is analyze, and after that, the results are compared with those on a global scale. 77 elements are chosen out of the first 92 ones in the periodic table. The results show that: 1) in terms of mobility scale, the situation in China is the same with that in the rest of the world, with flows from net primary production ranking the highest, fossil fuel flows the second and biomass fuels the lowest. However, the proportion of each flow to the world’s level varies. The highest proportions lie in mobilization of fossil fuels and mineral extraction, both at around 1/5. 2) In respect of dominant factor, out of the 77 elements, 59 on the scale of China and 54 on a world scale are dominated by human beings, and 62 elements are dominated by the same factor on both scales (49 by human and 13 by nature). 3) Top ten mobile elements are mostly the same in the two scales with the difference in aluminum and sulfur. Aluminum is in the top-ten list while sulfur is not in China; on the contrary, sulfur is in the top-ten list of the world but not aluminum. Furthermore, although human dominate over half of all the elements flows, most of the elements with the largest mobility are dominated by the nature, with seven in the top ten elements. Although it is a rough estimation on a national scale and needs improving when it is simplified, the attempt to analyze elemental flows on a macro scale is valuable and meaningful. It provides the method of determining the dominant factors that influence certain elemental flows and points out a direction to carry on study relevant to these flows in environmental and economic systems. In fact, it is a foundation for the further study of related industrial sectors, by using the tools such as material flow analysis and life cycle analysis in discipline of industrial ecology. The final results can be used as scientific supports for decision-makers to regulate industrial system and achieve the goal of sustainable development.
  • paper
    LIU Changming, ZHENG Hongxing, ZUO Jianbing
    2009, 31(8): 1295-1302.
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    Efficient Urban Rainwater Harvesting (URH) can alleviate water shortage and urban soil erosion, reduce urban non-point pollution and water logging, and improve urban ecological environment. Currently, most URH projects lack an effective and full-scale Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) based on economy principles, while paying more attention to the calculation of the economic benefits from tap-water saving and the basic construction. Therefore, systematic and scientific CBA indices are calculated on the basis of the combination of hydrology and economy in this paper. The potential calculation formulas of typical rainwater harvesting are discussed in details, including the potential of tank, sunken grassland, man-made pools, and recharged wells. Meanwhile, the costs of rainwater project are divided into fixed cost, operating cost, and marginal cost. The benefits of rainwater project fall into 7 categories, being followed by the benefit from tap-water saving, groundwater recharging, national fiscal increase, less social loss due to less pollution, less operational costs of the municipal water discharge system, less flood control costs, and the alleviation of land subsidence. Beijing has been suffering from water shortage since 1980s. With the fast increase in both economy and population, the continuous increase in water demand has worsened the water shortage. According to the latest statistical data, the annual average volume per capita is only 245 m3 in Beijing. This amount equals to 1/8 of the national average and 1/30 of the international average. Consequently, Beijing is among the world’s top ten cities suffering from water shortage. On the other hand, Beijing is also seriously affected by local floods. In order to take full advantage of rainwater to alleviate water shortage, more and more Urban Rainwater Harvesting Projects (URHP) have been put into practice in Beijing. According to the statistical data, 350 URHP have been finished in 2007, 267 of which are located in the urban areas. In this paper, the model of CBA on URH is used to evaluate the 267 projects. The results are: 1) In general, Beijing’s rainwater harvesting projects is remarkably beneficial, with the index of benefit α reaching 2.0; 2) based on the values of α, the districts can be divided into four categories. The first class is non-benefit districts with the α values lower than 1.0, which includes Chaoyang, Xicheng, Dongcheng and Fengtai districts, accounting for 22.2% of the total area. The second class is low-benefit districts with the α values between 1.0 and 1.5, which includes Tongzhou, Pinggu and Shijingshan districts, accounting for 16.7%. The third class is general-benefit districts with the α values between 1.5 and 3.0, including 9 other districts, accounting for 50.0% of the total. The forth class is high-benefit districts with α values above 3.0 (included), including 2 districts, accounting for 11.1%; 3) The spatial distribution of α shows that the projects in suburban areas are more beneficial than those in urban and central areas. Meanwhile, regression analysis reveals a positive coordination between the value of α and the area of the district (r=0.65, R2=0.423). The results indicate that a lower α value in urban or central areas can be attributed to the limited space and rainwater harvesting style, smaller rainwater cisterns and more porous pavements for rainwater infiltration.
  • paper
    CHEN Qiang, GOU Si, NI Guangheng, YAN Denghua
    2009, 31(8): 1303-1308.
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    The SEBAL model is widely used in evapotranspiration calculation, and the combination of meteorological input data and remote sensing input data is crucial to the SEBAL model of a region. In this paper, computational procedure is built to calculate the regional evapotranspiration, based on the theory of the SEBAL model. Also, a single factor sensitivity evaluation system is established to generate a relatively independent sensitivity index and evaluate the sensitivity of three meteorological parameters in the model. The SEBAL model uses the remote sensing data of Landsat7 ETM+ and the normal meteorological data including air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and sunlight duration in a whole day as well as other information as the input data. Meanwhile, the original SEBAL model procedure is modified to achieve some unobtainable parameters in normal procedure. The model is built to be applied in the ERDAS Imagine platform, which is efficient software for remote sensing data processing. The 24-hour ET amount and its distribution in Tianjin are calculated with this model. It is found that the ET amount is verifiable and the ET distribution is in accordance with the land type. Considering the great influence of the meteorological data on the model, sensitivity analysis of the three meteorological parameters is conducted by using the method developed in this paper, which reveals that the model is sensitive to the wind speed and the atmospheric temperature, while it is insensitive to the temperature of the selected “hot point”, which is selected during the model calculation process. In conclusion, the SEBAL model built in this research is accurate and the sensitivity analysis method is easy to use and effective for fast sensitivity analysis for independent parameters.
  • paper
    Bernd Cyffka, Alishir Kurban, CHAI Zheng, REN Wei, Umut Halik
    2009, 31(8): 1309-1314.
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    The Tarim River is about 1 320 km long and is also one of the longest continental inland waterways in the world. In an undisturbed state, it is accompanied on both sides by floodplain forests of Euphrat poplars (Populus euphratica Oliv.). The rising water consumption in the upper and middle reaches, and massive hydro-technical interventions in the development of uncultivated land use (cotton growing), especially in the past decades, have led to widespread destructions of the natural ecosystems, particularly in the lower reaches of the river, where 320 km of the floodplain forests are either highly degraded or dead. Since 2000, the Chinese government has made efforts to restore these ecosystems and conducted ecological water transportation. The starting process of the recovering measures needs an efficient and extensive long-term monitoring. A combined approach of remote sensing and terrestrial samples can meet the demands. The study is based on the data from a small-scale ecological monitoring for the past 5 years and QuickBird image information of the floodplain forests along the lower reaches of the Tarim River, which is accompanied by the ecological water diversion. The effects of the emergency water transfer (so-called ecological water diversion) on the restoration of the groundwater layer and Populus euphratica forests are studied in the region of Argan. The results are as follows: with the continuance and expansion of the ecological water transport, the groundwater level rises from 10-12 m to 5.5-6.2 m below the surface in the vicinity of the river beds. Some ecological indicators of the Populus euphratica forests have different levels of response to the ecological water transfer. To specify, in the vertical direction, the farther the coverage is from the river, the weak response the ecological indicators are. These indicators include the canopy density, crown size, crown loss as well as the initiation sticks of Populus euphratica seedlings and the frequency of delivery. Generally, the Populus euphratica forests within 200 m to the river bed have recovered remarkably, and those between 200 m and 800 m from the rivers have shown a medium response to the ecological water transfer, while forests further than 800 m from the river bed have shown no sign of recovery.
  • paper
    WANG Runyuan, YAO Yubi, ZHANG Xiuyun
    2009, 31(8): 1315-1320.
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    Based on the surface meteorology and water resource observation data in the Bailong River valley, the characteristics of climate evolution and water resources change, as well as their relationship are analyzed The climate model for water resources is also established. On the one hand, the results show that the interannual change of precipitation demonstrates a descending trend, with the tendency rate ranging from -34.2 to -0.74 mm·a-1. The main decline happens in summer with the tendency rates ranging from -21.2 to -3.8 mm·a-1. On the other hand, it is also indicated that the interannual change of temperature presents a remarkable ascending trend, with the tendency rates ranging from 0.010 to 0.040℃·a-1. Such increase appears most in winter, with the tendency rates ranging from 0.22 to 0.55℃·a-1. The second most frequency is in autumn, with the tendency rate ranging from 0.15 to 0.35℃·a-1, while the lowest appears in spring, and the tendency rate is between 0.03 and 0.34℃·a-1. The ascending trend in temperature appeared since 1970s and also peaked during that decade. There is also a prominent ascending trend in the aridity index, with the changing rates between 0.009 and 0.014a-1. In the past 55 years, the general climate change pattern of the Bailong River valley can be described as becoming warmer and drier, while the water resources remarkably decline at the rate of -28.09m-3s-1·(10a)-1. The decline of water resources first appeared in 1985 and reached the lowest point in 1991, and the changing cycles are 3~4a, 7~8a or 12~13a. The There is an obvious positive correlation between water resources and annual total precipitation, and the correlation coefficient is from 0.47 to 0.71(P<0.01); while the correlation between water resources and annual average temperature is negative, and the correlation coefficient is -0.68 to -0.46(P<0.01). Also, water resources is negatively correlated with the annual aridity index, with the correlation coefficients between -0.75 and -0.43(P<0.01). In other words, water sources will decrease when the annual total precipitation decreases and annual average temperature ascends, which lead to the increase of annual aridity index.
  • paper
    GUO Lingxia, KANG Shuyuan, LI Yuwen, YANG Mingjin, ZHANG Bo
    2009, 31(8): 1321-1327.
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    Given that water is crucial for China to achieving most of the Millennium Development Goals, the solution does not only lie in developing new technologies and increasing supply, but also in managing the available resources effectively, efficiently and equitably. Gender equality and public participation are the main aspects of the fairness and sustainability of Integrated Water Resource Management, which is aimed at broadening women’s access to water, enhancing women’s participation in water management and promoting gender equality in the water resources management. Water User Association is the main organization forms of agricultural water resources management in China. However, women are seldom considered in this organization, and till now, this problem has not attracted serious attentions. In this paper, women’s present situation and willingness to participate in the Water User Association management are analyzed. By using systematic random procedure, 122 women are interviewed for the study. The Logistic duality regression techniques are used to examine the influential factors of the women’s willingness to participate in the management of Water User Association in rural areas of China. The results show that the majority of women (81%) are eager to participate in the management of Water User Association, but they seldom involve in it primarily due to poor education background, no chance of participation, heavy burdens of housework, adverse health conditions, low self-esteem and the lack for family support. Women’s attitude to participating in the management of Farmer Water User Association is positively correlated with education background, health conditions, family support and self-confidence, while it is negatively correlated with their family scale and age. Based on the results, the following policies and advices are provided to promote the women’s participation in the management of Farmer Water User Association and gender equality in water resources management: 1) establish and improve the operational mechanism of Farmer Water User Association in order to create more opportunities for women; 2) regard gender equality as an index of the Farmer Water User Association operation and management assessment; 3) highlight the important role of family in encouraging women to participate; 4) improve women’s education as well as their decision-making abilities in water management.
  • paper
    HU Qing, XU Jianhua, ZENG Gang, ZHANG Yan
    2009, 31(8): 1328-1334.
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    The overall development of what is related to a certain region. It’s very essential to know the spatial distribution features of development potential (DP) and resource & environment carrying capacity (REC) in various areas of a nation. To achieve sustainable development, it is essential to maintain the rational distribution of resources on the temporal and spatial scale, and to satisfy the needs of people nowadays without undermining those of the next generations. This is an important measure of putting the scientific development concept into practice, and it is also an important base for constructing a harmonious society. The goal of this study is to explore the spatial relationship between regional development potential and the carrying capacity of resource and environment. Data from 2000 and 2006 are applied to the meta-synthesis of spatial statistical analysis and geography information system (GIS). According to the principles of proportionality, completeness and consistency, two regional complex systems of DP and REC are constructed, and the weight of what is calculated by using entropy method. The results show that: 1) the overall spatial distribution patterns of DP and REC present a declining trend from coastal through inland area towards the provinces in west China. Obviously, the regional economic development level is the primary factor of development potential. 2)Moran's I and G statistics of development potential and carrying capacity of resource and environment are calculated. It can be seen that the differences in spatial distribution of both aspects are similar among different provinces. To specify, provinces or regions with high level of development potential are mainly located in east China, while places with low level of development potential are mainly in the western part China. The carrying capacity in central, eastern and southern parts of China has been improved and tends to centralize, while places with low level of carrying capacity are mainly in northwest China. 3) The regional development potential and carrying capacity are divided into five categories according to the results of k-means clustering analysis and spatial clustering. The dividing results demonstrate that spatial association measure of development potential and carrying capacity of various regions is positive correlation (R=0.393); in other words, it is not very significantly. Besides carrying capacity, the international economic and information, scientific and technological development, innovation and institutions are also important factors of regional development potential. Compared with the regions with higher level of development potential, the regions with lower level are much more restricted by the carrying capacity of resource and environment.
  • paper
    LIU Yansui, ZHAI Rongxin, ZHANG Fugang, ZHANG Yingwen
    2009, 31(8): 1335-1340.
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    The development of agriculture, rural areas and farmers is a principal and fundamental problem in China, and it is closely related to national security, economy, society and ecology, especially for the developed regions along the eastern coastal area. Since the reform and opening up, the economy and society in the eastern coastal area of China have developed rapidly. Due to the high level of industrialization and urbanization in the eastern coastal area, the development of its rural area also needs transformation and upgrade. To specify, the rural industrial structure, land use structure, agricultural production pattern and farmers’ life style have all changed greatly. It is necessary to analyze the agriculture development in developed regions of eastern coastal China, in order to formulate development strategies and sustainable models for the agriculture. In this paper, the data are mainly from China Statistical Yearbook (2006) and China Compendium of Statistics (1949-2004). Since the opening-up in China, the characteristics of regional agriculture development in developed regions of the eastern coastal area have been as follows: 1) the agriculture has experienced periods of revival, rapid development, slow development and accelerated development; it has also transformed from the transitional and single development models to the comprehensive development models of farming and forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, because the a series of policies and regulations for agriculture development has been implemented in China; 2) The total areas of crop planting have been quickly declining with an average rate of 233 380 hectares per year, because the cultivated land has been occupied by construction land use and farmland abandon; and the proportion of the area of food crops to that of the total planting crops has also decreased gradually, from the 78.74% to 63.10%; 3) The grain yields have gone through an increase at first, but it has begun to decrease, and the proportion of grain yields to the total yields in the whole country has decreased from 35.36% to 26.38% between 1978 and 2005; however, the yields of oil crops, fruits and aquatic products have obviously increased. According to the productive, social, ecological and cultural functions of agriculture, more attention should be paid to the development of urban agriculture, export-oriented agriculture, and characteristic agriculture by taking good advantages of the favorable external environment of industrialization and urbanization.
  • paper
    QIAO Jiajun, WU Nalin
    2009, 31(8): 1341-1348.
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    The unitary system of Xinjiang Coprs’ Contruction and the independent and dispersible responsibility system with household contracts have sharp contrast. Massive researches and discussions have already been conducted for the responsibility system, while few of the farmland production characteristics in the unitary system have been studied. In order to discuss the characteristic of farmland production in the unitary system, Company 3, Regiment 106, Agricultural Division 6, Xinjiang Corps' Construction is selected as the place for the case study, and the whole staff (148 people) and families (82 households) are interviewed. In this paper, analysis on input-output structure of various lands is carries out, and we have reached the following conclusions. There are significant spatial differences in cotton cost price, input-output structure and production efficiency. On the whole, the pattern of farmland system efficiency is centralized distribution, while there are significant differences between some neighboring fields. The unit cost of cotton is spatially consistent with the farmland system efficiency, but the spatial similarities in farmland inputs are low, and the relationship between farmland production efficiency and input per area is also not significant. The features of farmland system production and its spatial distribution have a close relationship with its influencing environment. The cotton cost price is closely related to the natural environment, such as microclimate, weather, natural disaster, terrain environment, soil environment and others. It can also be affected by rural households’ viability (such as, the age structure of rural households, coefficient of the number of school children in a family, their own thinking and consciousness, their skills and attitudes and others) and institutional environment (such as the production system of Xinjiang Corps’ Construction). Besides, changes of workers’ families can have effect on the farmland management, which would, therefore, affect their cotton production and cost price.
  • paper
    SUN Xinzhang, ZHANG Xinmin, ZHOU Hailin
    2009, 31(8): 1349-1354.
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    At present, to build a harmonious society is the main objective of the Chinese government. To specify, great efforts should be made to promote the harmonious development between men and nature as well as between men themselves. To implement eco-compensation has been proven to be effective for achieving the target. In fact, the Chinese government has begun the attempt of establishing eco-compensation system since the beginning of 1980’s, but an improved eco-compensation system is necessary for the present in China. However, it is impractical to establish an eco-compensation system exactly up-to-date, because some necessary conditions are still not available. Fox example, the economy in China is still not strong enough, many scientific and technological problems related to the eco-compensation are unsolved, and the laws concerning eco-compensation system also lag behind time. Based on practices and experience of the past twenty years in China and also the experiences learnt from other countries, this paper suggests that the process of establishing eco-compensation system in China can be divided into three stages, which are the exploring stage, trial stage and improving stage. The exploring stage is completed at the end of the last century and it is the primary period of the trial stage at present. If the main problems restricting the establishment of the eco-compensation system could be solved in recent years, the improving stage can be approached in the 12th Five-Year Plan period. The way to improve eco-compensation system and propose a primary concept is analyzed according to the present situation in China. It is suggested that a step-by-step approach for establishing the eco-compensation system in China should be achieved on the basis of economic strength and eco-environmental situation. A primary assumption about this approach can divide the eco-compensation program into three levels: 1) preferential level (the main aim is to resolve very serious eco-environmental problems); 2) important level (the main aim is to resolve relatively serious eco-environmental problem or subsidize those behaviors protecting environment remarkable); and 3) expanding level (the main aim is to subsidize those environment-friendly behaviors friendly to a certain some degree).
  • paper
    GUO Jie, LIU Qiong, OU Minghao, OU Weixin
    2009, 31(8): 1355-1361.
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    Being the frontier of nonlinearity and artificial intelligence, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are widely used in many fields, such as trend analysis, pattern recognition, ecosystem simulation, ecological data processing, remote sensing-based extraction of ecological parameters, oil exploration, pest and disease control, and geological hydrology. However, ANN models are seldom used in land use change simulation. There are non-linear relationships between construction land scale and its driving factors such as total population, GDP, investment in fixed assets and others. Based on the data of socio-economic development and construction land from 1988 to 2006 in Nantong city of Jiangsu Province, the driving factors related to construction land expansion are selected by using binary variables correlation analysis method. Then, multiple regression analysis and BP neural network are employed to build the forecast model for construction land demand, and the optimal model is used to predict the demand of construction land. Finally, the gray system model is combined with trend evaluation to verify the credibility of the predictive results. The results show that the model using ENTER method is less credible, while the model using STEPWISE method has less indices, because most of the driving factors are deleted from the model as multi-collinearity eliminates. Nevertheless, the model based on BP neural network integrates various driving factors, and the variation coefficient is only 1.78%. The comparative analysis of the three methods proves that the credibility of the results from BP-neural- network-based model is higher, because: 1) by comparing the results of grey system and BP neural network, it can be seen that the differences between both predictive values of construction land are insignificant (relative error are less than 10%), but the simulation value in BP neural network in 2006 is much closer to the actual area(1.71×104hm2); 2) During the Ninth Five-Year-Plan and the Tenth Five-Year-Plan periods, the annual average net increase of construction land scale in Nantong were 5 654.28hm2 and 3 660.32hm2 respectively, and according to the gray system and neural network methods, the annual average net increase of construction land are 5 668hm2 and 1 907hm2 respectively. The predicting results of neural network reflect that the intensive degree of land use will increase gradually. The research proves that the use of BP neural network model can effectively improve the forecast accuracy, and the results can be used as the reference in social and economic planning.
  • paper
    DONG Yuxiang, LIU Yihua, ZHENG Rongbao
    2009, 31(8): 1362-1368.
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    In the recent years, with the fast development of economy and industrialization in Guangzhou, there is a growing imbalance between land resources and human activities, and the question of land security comes into focus, since it may threaten the sustainable development of the society and economy. As an important component of national security, land security is concerned by any country in the world; however, there are only a few related research currently, especially the one in proper recognition of the evaluation and prewarning of urban land security. Till now, urban land security can not to be evaluated objectively and quantitatively, so the thorough research about the coupling relationship between land use systems and human activities is not performed effectively. This may affect the land security and the security of national resources. Therefore, not only is it of great significance in theory and in practice to carry out the evaluation and prewarning research of regional land security, it also meets the demand on constructional strategies for national security and social research. The main purpose of this article is to discuss the construction of prewarning system for land security through probing into correlative literature. This paper first defines land security prewarning and then focuses on the overall plan and the main problems in the research of Guangzhou’ land security. In this paper, a cultivated land dynamic prewarning model is established, which calculates the cultivated land alert level to reflect the safeguard state from 1990-2005 in Guangzhou. A new equation is simulated by using the results from GM (1, 1) model, which is Y=-3.096exp (-0.063694t) +3.096. It can be forecasted that the cultivated land security degree would be -1.4585 in 2015 and -1.9051 in 2020, both of which are high levels of alert. It is indicated that the situation of cultivated land security in Guangzhou is becoming worse and different measures are needed to counteract. At the same time, the rational use and protection of cultivated land are also good ways to reduce the pressure of cultivated land shortage.
  • paper
    PAN Xiaoling, ZHANG Jie
    2009, 31(8): 1369-1377.
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    Landscape analysis based on remote sensing technique allows precise dynamics quantification of the oases in arid land of western China. The spatial patterns of oasis expansion on the margin of fluvial fan in the north piedmont of the Kuruktag Mountains in Xinjiang Province between 1973 and 2005 are monitored and analyzed by using Landsat MSS/TM/ETM+ and CBERS2-CCD images. Based upon the human related factors and land use history, the development and evolution of Kuruk oasis can be categorized into four stages: initial invasion and establishment stage, dispersal stage, domination stage and succession stage. In the initial stage of the invasion, the shifting between pastoral nomadism and cultivation were intensively replaced by settled agricultural cultivation. Land degradation was closely related to the substantial increase in population, especially during the period from the 1900s to 1973, as well as the associated intensity of land use and abuse. In the dispersal stage (1973~1990), salt marsh and riparian forest were converted into oasis agriculture with favorable irrigation conditions. The oasis expansion entered into a period of slow development due to the surface water shortage. In the domination stage (1990~2000), the improved groundwater irrigation technologies triggered the rapid expansion and spread of artificial oases, which led to the abruptly increase in water demand. The shrubland of oasis-desert ecotone declined dramatically. With the development and expansion of the piedmont oases, the Kuruk oasis entered into the succession stage (2000~2005). Groundwater shortage became a bottleneck in the development of oases. The ephemeral lake area of Tsagan Sag Playa exhibited highly-frequent fluctuations and reduced continuously. Many factors are analyzed in this paper, including the growth velocity pattern of new oasis emergence patches, edges collision of patches, the oscillating frequencies of the gaps in the expansion of patches, the dynamic changes in patches and landscape matrix characterizing the expansion rate of oasis ecosystem. The results show that the development rate of irrigated oasis agriculture is greatly constrained by existing land and limited water resources. Conversions of desert shrub to oasis agriculture as well as uncontrolled groundwater pump continuously damage the already fragile arid ecosystem. Regularities in the spatio-temporal oscillation between the expansion and connection in the oasis growth are revealed, highlighting the important research findings in each stage. Oasis patch size is determined by the expanding rates of sub-patches, lateral expansion, collision and subsequent joint. When individual or isolated oasis patches are not very far from the core oasis, they continue to expand, resulting in a joint of the parent patches with the satellite patches. The joint stops or slows down significantly, leading to the landscape patterns of joined pieces through land reclamation and cultivation. The result can offer new insights and opportunities for oasis management and environment protection, provide information for future research into the spatio-temporal dynamic evolution of oasis, and further develop the existing oasis theory.
  • paper
    CHEN Jianglong, GUO Yao, HUANG Tiansong, YUAN Feng
    2009, 31(8): 1378-1385.
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    With the fast economic development, the area of cultivated land in China keeps decreasing drastically in recent years, especially in relatively developed regions, where urbanization speed is faster. The proportion of rural house land in east China is rising while there is a shortage in the amount of urban construction land under such circumstances. the rural house land displacement becomes an issue under heated discussion, which can effectively resolve contradictions between the cultivated land protection and economy development, as well as coordinate the needs for urban development and new countryside construction. Based on stakeholder analysis (stakeholder communication matrix applied, SCM) and questionnaire investigation in Haimen city, it is found that there are lots of stakeholder groups in rural house land displacement, whose interests involve social and economic aspects as well as land for sustainable development. The farmers, their committee and the government (including department of national territory) are the primary stakeholders. The conflicts between them are the main obstacles in rural house land displacement, being directly related to the implementation as well as the resistance of rural house land. To achieve the common interests, these conflicts can be resolved by trades among the primary stakeholders. In other words, one of the primary stakeholders gives benefits to another stakeholder in order to gain their support for rural house land displacement. There are two approaches to minimize the conflicts: one is in favor of urbanization-oriented and project-oriented rural house land displacement, in which government controls while farmers participate; the other is in favor of new rural construction-oriented displacement, in which farmers and their committees take charge. The differences between these two land displacement modes lie in the suppliers, finance and land use efficiency. The main aim of government-dominated rural house land displacement is to obtain more area for urban development, so it is more efficient in land use and can bring more financial benefits. The area occupied by the residents-oncentrated zone can be saved up to 80.27%. The main aim of farmers-dominated rural house land displacement is to improve the living conditions of the farmers, so it is more suitable for traditional rural inhabitants. In this mode, the average floor space can be increased by 145m2 per house, while the area occupied by the residents-concentrated zone is only saved by 37.69%.
  • paper
    LIU Fawei, LONG Kaisheng, SHU Bangrong
    2009, 31(8): 1386-1391.
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    With the advancement of the reform and opening-up, the living consumption ability of both urban and rural inhabitant increases continuously, posing formidable challenges to land resources utilization in China. With the method of modern macro-dynamic econometrics analysis, this paper analyzes the influence of urban and rural living consumption on cultivated land conservation in the period from 1978 to 2007 in China. The empirical research can be summarized as below. First, urban and rural living consumption is an important influential factor in the quantity change of cultivated land. There is a long term equilibrium between cultivated land quantity and urban-rural living consumption, and the short term fluctuation is minor, with an adjusting range of 7.30% towards long term balance. Second, urban living consumption is a major reason for the cultivated land quantity change, while rural consumption imposes a minor impact. Furthermore, the impacts of urban and rural living consumption on cultivated land quantity changing directions are opposite, and the influence of urban living consumption is longer than that of rural living consumption. Also, the construal level of the impact of urban living consumption on cultivated land quantity change is approximately 23%, while that of rural living consumption is only 4%. However, the construal level of the fluctuation of cultivated land quantity change itself is as remarkable as over 70%. It is therefore concluded that the increase of urban and rural living consumption does not necessarily result in the decrease of cultivated land. In some cases, it would be good to perform cultivated land conservation when the consumption can provoke the consideration of urban and rural inhabitants. Therefore, the influence of urban-rural living consumption on cultivated land conservation depends on many factors such as social, economic and the like. At present, urban-rural living consumption is increasing quickly, and how to protect cultivated land effectively is a challenging question. This research analyzes and clarifies the dynamic relationship between cultivated land conservation and urban-rural living consumption, in order to help decision-makers take reasonable measures in the process of cultivated land conservation.
  • paper
    P.H. Verburg, WANG Wei, XU Zhongchun, ZHANG Xueru
    2009, 31(8): 1392-1399.
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    The dynamic simulation and scenario analyses of the spatio-temporal patterns of land use change are studied by many professionals in the research of land use and cover change, and modeling is an important tool for the study. In this paper, CLUE-S model is applied to the change simulation of the spatial patterns of land use to a regional extent on the basis of system theory, which allows an integrated analysis of land use change and the physical and socio-economic driving factors. The spatial resolution of the modeling can reach single grid cell level. The model is used to simulate the regional agriculture and forest land use system in many countries. This paper takes Tangshan Coastal zone as the study area and collects the land use / land cover data in two different periods with higher accuracy, based on the TM remote sensing images in 2000 and 2005, which have been grabbed by using 3S (RS, GIS, GPS) technology. Based on the LUCC data of 2000, this paper chooses the following nine natural and social-economic factors as the driving factors: distances to the rural residential areas, to the town residential areas, and to the roads, river and coastline, groundwater depth, soil types, causes of landform and engineering geology condition. The spatial pattern of land use types in 2005 is simulated by using the CLUE-S model. Compared with the interpretation data of 2005, it can be found that the simulation accuracy is up to 88.95% and the Kappa index is 0.8711; therefore, the CLUE-S Model can be used to simulate the LUCC of coastal zone on a small scale. Furthermore, the land use pattern in 2015 is simulated in four scenarios: natural increase scenario, land structure optimization scenario, economic development scenario and ecological protection scenario. The results show that the LUCC pattern presents obvious spatial diversity in different scenarios.The regions in which the different land use types are prone to competing and conversing are Jingtang Port, western Daqing River, Tanghai Wetland Reserve, surrounding areas of Xiangyun Forest, and Laoting coastal area. Therefore, it is very important to develop land management policies in this region. Although the simulation is generally successful, the CLUE-S Model can not simulate the land use change from continents to ocean, which can be the influential factor for the accuracy of simulation.
  • paper
    NIU Haipeng, ZHANG Anlu
    2009, 31(8): 1400-1408.
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    This paper first reconstructs the utilization benefits systems for cultivated land on the basis of the types, affecting process, form and features of cultivated land ecosystem. The concepts, categories, influence and compensation methods of the externalities of cultivated land protection are also defined and analyzed in view of the theory of donator and acceptor of externalities. Meanwhile, the thinking and approaches to the calculation of externalities are proposed. Then, the externalities of cultivated land protection in 2006 in Jiaozuo city are calculated by contingent valuation method (CVM) and synthetic approach. The results are as follows. Firstly, the cultivated land utilization benefits system is composed of economic benefit, social benefit and ecological benefit. The ecological and social benefit of cultivated land utilization are more for public goods than with the features of consumption, so the ecological benefit and social benefit of cultivated land utilization are external benefits, which is the crucial reason for cultivated land conversion. Secondly, the overall externalities of cultivated land are composed of regional externality and interregional externality. The achievements of the overall externalities are influenced by the achievements of regional and interregional externalities. The synthetic approach and contingent valuation method (CVM) can effectively measure the value of externality. The externality based on CVM show a positive willingness to pay (WTP) in a hypothetical market. The value is small, and can be used as the minimum value of externality compensation criterion. The externalities based on synthetic approach are big because neither the regional economic and social conditions nor the residents’ ability to pay are considered. Therefore, it can be used as the maximum value of externalities compensation criterion. Thirdly, the overall externality of cultivated land in 2006 in Jiaozuo is 15542.3 RMB per hectare in synthetic approach, and 1020.4 RMB per hectare in CVM. The maximal value and minimum value of externality compensation of different amount of cultivated land can also be measured according to the grain production capacity of different cultivated lands. Fourthly, the interregional externality values of Mengzhou, Qinyang, Wuzhi, Wenxian and Xiuwu are positive while the interregional externality values of Urban and Boai are negative. Therefore, Mengzhou, Qinyang, Wuzhi, Wenxian and Xiuwu can be defined as compensation surplus area, while Urban and Boai are compensation deficit area. Lastly, the economic compensation mechanism and cultivated land protection system, including regional compensation and interregional compensation, are constructed to protect cultivated land in China.
  • paper
    MO Hongwei, REN Zhiyuan
    2009, 31(8): 1409-1414.
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    Based on the remote sensing images, the digital elevation model (DEM), and other information of Yuyang District, suitable models, the theory of geographic information images, as well as RS and GIS are used to, analyze temporal-spatial changes of the vegetation coverage in Yuyang District from 1978 to 2005. It is concluded that in the recent 30 years, the proportion of the vegetation coverage in Yuyang District has gone up from 3.22% to 10.35%- about 7.13% total increase and the annual average growth rate of 0.26%, while that in loess hilly-gully region has increased from 3.74% to 14.17% and that in wind drift sand region has increased from 3.02% to 8.86%. The proportions of the vegetation coverage in all the different slops of Yuyang District have increased in the research period. The steeper the slops are, the faster the vegetation coverage has increased between 1989 and 2005. The vegetation coverage and its increasing speed in loess hilly-gully region are higher than those in wind drift sand region in the research period. The increasing velocity of vegetation coverage has been similar between 1978~1989 and 1989~2005 in the loess hilly-gully region, while that in the wind drift sand region between 1978 and 1989 has been about 1.77 times more than between1989 and 2005. Among the urban, the suburban and the outer suburban areas of Yuyang District, the vegetation coverage in urban areas has been the highest and that in the outer suburb the lowest from 1978 to 2005. The increasing velocity of the vegetation coverage in the urban areas has been the fastest while that in the outer suburb has been the slowest between1978 and1989, but the status has reversed between1989 and 2005. Plant growth and vegetation development can be affected by climate factors, topography, soil conditions and land-use types. Natural and non-natural disturbances, such as global climate changes, deforestation, afforestation and other human activities can also impact vegetation development. However, the change of vegetation coverage can be mainly attributed to human activities in a short period.
  • paper
    CHEN Xiaoling, SHAO Jingan, YUAN Zhongzhi
    2009, 31(8): 1415-1421.
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    According to the information analysis theory, the temporal-spatial structure and analysis pattern of suspended sediment concentration are studied. Due to the randomness and periodicity of the temporal structure and the regional differences of the spatial structure in suspended sediment concentration, the temporal analysis pattern of suspended sediment concentration is divided into time-span analysis pattern and time-varying analysis pattern. The time-span analysis pattern is further divided into backward analysis, present analyzes and forecast analysis,while time-varying analysis pattern is sub-divided into long-term trend change analysis, periodic change analysis and irregular change analysis. The spatial analysis pattern of suspended sediment concentration is divided into space change analysis pattern and spatial analogy analysis pattern. Spatial change analysis is further divided into distance attenuation analysis, trend surface analysis, zoning analysis and vertical changes analysis, while spatial analogy analysis pattern is divided into different time analog analyses in the same area, different time analog analyses in different regions and different regional analog analyses at the same time etc. In this paper, the temporal-spatial law of suspended sediment concentration in the Pearl River estuary and Shenzhen Bay based on the above temporal-spatial analysis pattern are studied. The study results indicate the periodic change of the suspended sediment concentration in the Pearl River estuary. To specify, the suspended sediment concentration is higher in summer than in spring and autumn, and it can be the lowest in winter. In addition, the concentration contour is roughly parallel to the coastline and the values decrease from river mouth to the open sea. On the side, the suspended sediment concentration in the Shenzhen Bay also shows an obvious spatial distribution as well as a tidal cycle in its temporal variation. The suspended sediment concentration usually decreases from northwest to southeast. In view of the vertical changes, the suspended sediment concentration often decreases from the bottom to the top, and its vertical changing pattern generally coincides with the logarithmic equation. The study results also indicate that the temporal-spatial law of suspended sediment concentration can be learnt comprehensively if the suspended sediment concentration is analyzed with the method of long-term trend change analysis, periodic change analysis, irregular change analysis, backward analysis, now analyzes, forecast analysis, etc.
  • paper
    LIU Chuang, SUO Yuxia, WANG Zhengxing, YU Bohua
    2009, 31(8): 1422-1429.
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    The five countries in Middle Asia lie in the center of Eurasia. Most part of this region is arid and semi-arid zone with sparse vegetation cover. The study of the vegetation dynamics and environmental change in this region is important to the research of environment and climate in China. This paper explored the vegetation dynamics and its relationship with major climatic factors in middle Asia by using AVHRR-NDVI dataset at 8km spatial resolution and CRU climate data set at 0.5° spatial resolution between 1982 and 2002. These two datasets were unified to the same spatial resolution of 8km and Alberta geographic projection. The trend analysis showed that 53 percent of the land cover was relatively stable, with a very small NDVI change of ±0.005 NDVI per year. These regions, especially the two large deserts, were mainly in the center of Middle Asia. Forty percent of the land had a NDVI up-trend of more than 0.0005 NDVI per year, which was mainly in the north and south of Middle Asia, while only 6 percent of the land had a NDVI down-trend of less than 0.0005 NDVI per year. The analysis on land cover types indicated that evergreen forest and alpine grass (steppe) were among the best up-trend group with NDVI gains more than 0.0014 and 0.0009 per year, while the p values are 0.001 and 0.001 respectively. There were no obvious changes in deciduous forest, grass, crop and steppified desert. To investigate the possible driving forces, correlation analysis was conducted between AVHRR-NDVI and major climatic factors, which are precipitation and temperature. In 49 percent of the area, especially in the forest steppe in north Middle Asia, annual average AVHRR-NDVI was closely related to the annual precipitation, especially that in spring and summer. Only 17.78 percent of the area is related to the annual average temperature with a validation coefficient of more than 0.05. Annually speaking, the positive correlation coefficient of evergreen forest, alpine grass with the annual average temperature is relatively low, with the correlation coefficients of 0.432 and 0.557 as well as p value of 0.052 and 0.009 respectively. The positive correlation coefficient of crop and grass with annual precipitation are comparatively low with R values of 0.511and 0.476 as well as p values of 0.018 and 0.029 respectively. The R value between NDVI and precipitation for deciduous forest was 0.415 in summer and 0.461 in winter, while the p value was 0.01 in summer and 0.461 in winter. The positive correlation coefficient of re-vegetated desert cover with precipitation in spring is relatively lower with the R value of 0.415 and the p value of 0.0061.
  • paper
    GUO Huancheng, XIAO Guangming
    2009, 31(8): 1430-1437.
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    The Pearl River Delta (PRD) plays an important role in the regional tourism development in China, so it is of significance to research the tourism resources. To deal with the difficulty of conducting quantitative evaluation of the tourism resources in a large area, the qualitative and quantitative methods are combined to perform a comprehensive analysis and evaluation of the basic features of tourism resources in this district, and also to compare the differences in tourism resources of the nine cities in the region. The former task includes the evaluation of the type effect, the intensity effect and the agglomerative effect, while the latter task includes comparison of the abundance degrees, the response indices, the levels of the overall advantages in the nine cities, and comparison of the different roles of these aspects in the tourism development of the nines cities. It is indicated that, the above-mentioned evaluation indices is suitable for the overall evaluation and comparison of the tourism resources in such a big region as the Pearl River Delta. There are significant differences in the amount, combination, and the overall advantages and disadvantages of the tourism resources in the nine cities. Also, these aspects play different roles in the tourism development. Generally, these cities are grouped into three types. Guangzhou, Foshan and Dongguan belong to the economy-driven type, and the tourism development mainly depends on economic factors. Huizhou, Jiangmen and Zhaoqing belong to the resource-driven type, and their tourism development mainly depends on the traditional tourism resources. The cities of Shenzhen, Zhongshan and Zhuhai are driven by both resource and economy, so their tourism development depends on both of economic factors and traditional tourism resources. According to the performance of tourism economy, the function of traditional tourism resources are the most important for the resource-driven type, while it is least significant in economy-driven cites; however, these results are achieved only from the angle of economic performance. Regardless of the types of the cities, it is of great importance to management the traditional tourism resources, which greatly benefit the environment, the landscape of the city and the cultural elements. The great social, ecological and cultural benefits are essential to the sustainable development of local tourism. It is suggested that the three different types of cities should learn from each other, through cooperative exhibitions of tourism resources. A systematic integration should be promoted for the spatial integration of the tourism resources of these cities.
  • paper
    LIU Yaping
    2009, 31(8): 1438-1446.
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    Bailidujuan scenic spot lies in the northwest of Guizhou Province in China, 155km from the capital city, Guiyang, of Guizhou Province, neighbouring Dafang County and Qianxi County. Not only does Bailidujuan have the largest original Rhododendron trees in China, it also has rich coal resource with high quality. However, it is complex to evaluate its value and to develop and use these resources. Up to now, more attentions have been paid to the coal resource development because of its huge profits, but its recreational value has been ignored and even been destroyed to a certain extent. There are only a few researches discussing the resources in Bailidujuan scenic spot. This can be a waste of valuable and abundant Rhododendron resources. To study the different values of these resources in Bailidujuan scenic spot, the travel cost method is used to estimate the recreation value, and the direct market method is used to assess the value of coal resource in the survey, in order to compare the two values. The total recreational values are 1.8432683×108Yuan in 2007 and 7.5156444×108Yuan in 2008, while the mined coal value can be 13.78×108Yuan every year. Seemingly, the recreation value is far less than the value of mined coal.. However this essay argues that it is not scientific to just compare the numerical values; in addition, it is also unresonable for protecting the resources of Bailidujuan scenic spot. It is suggested that: 1) the differences between the recreation value and the value of mined coal should be analyzed scientifically; 2) local government should organize scholars and professionals to study the relations between the Rhododendron resource and the coal resource; 3) policies for the protection of Bailidujuan scenic spot should be formulated in order to restrict the activities of the coal mines owners from damaging the environment; 4) Protection of the Rhododendron should be encouraged by the local government; 5) the values of Bailidujuan scenic spot should be further studied so as to cut down a strong seasonal limitation. In this way, the recreation value of Bailidujuan scenic spot can be effectively protected and used for its healthy and sustainable development.
  • paper
    GAN Mengyu, GE Quansheng, WU Guozhu, XI Jianchao
    2009, 31(8): 1447-1453.
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    The carrying capacity of ecological system is a core problem for the land management, because there is a obvious conflict between tourism activities and natural environment. Three typical vegetations, which are edelweiss meadow in Liangdianxia, larch in Yehegu and ?? in Xiaonanchuan,are selected in this paper, since these are the core tourism areas in Liupan Mountain Reserve. Tourism activities simulation is conducted from the sprout period in spring (in May) to the period with maximum biomass (in August) to study the dynamical responses of the three vegetation types. Experimental treading is conducted upon the three vegetation types in five separate mountain regions. Each type is tread upon for 0-500 times. Vegetation responses to the treading are assessed by evaluating the vegetation cover 2 weeks after and three months after the treading tests. Based on the changes of vegetation cover in the different stages, the sensitivity of three vegetations to the tourist activities can be evaluated by three indices, which are the tolerance index, the resistance index and the elasticity index. The results of this study show that: 1) In terms of relative sensitivity, all the sensitivity indices respond consistently. The sensitivity level ranking of the three vegetations is: Liangdianxia ranks first and Xiaonanchuan is the last. However, vegetation in Xiaonanchuan is especially sensitive to human treading. 2) In terms of absolute sensitivity, the species in the three regions have different vegetation level and therefore, the sensitivity level is different too. The sensitivity level in Xiaonanchuan ranks first, because nearly 6 species disappear in the treading test period. The number of disappeared species in the Yehegu is 5 and in Liangdianxia, it is 2. The disappeared species in the three regions are mainly Baccatae, Agrimonia L. baby, Prunus padu, Agrimonia pilosa Ledeb of Rosaceae and Vicia sepium Linn of Leguminosae. Also, the coverage rate of some other species reduces due to the treading. These results are useful for the tourism management in Liupan Mountain reserve. Frequent tourist activities can destroy the sprouts of plants and can directly impact the evolution of the species.