城市建设用地的潜在生态适宜性评价——以上海市宝山区为例

doi:10.18402/resci.2020.03.14

Abstract

Abstract:

Traditional ecological suitability evaluation methods based on current land use status have their limitation in supporting development decision for urban construction land in rapid urban-expansion regions. This article first proposed the concept and method of potential ecological suitability evaluation of urban construction land. The method highlights the predicted future urban land-use distribution that is regarded as an important factor in the ecological suitability evaluation framework, and generates the evaluation result that is suitable for future planning and decision making of urban construction land. This study took Baoshan District, Shanghai Municipality, China as the study area and presented the spatial distribution of ecological suitability of urban construction land in 2050 under the background of urban expansion. The result was compared with the traditional ecological suitability evaluation results. The comparison revealed that potential ecological suitability evaluation can effectively reduce the high overlaps of the lands unsuitable or moderately unsuitable to be developed and the future urban buildup areas (reducing the overlap from 9.74% and 22.7% to 0.0% and 14.5%). It can match the urban development boundary planning and ecological space planning better and highlights the key protected ecological regions in future development. The case study proved the soundness and effectiveness of the new evaluation method, which can provide better decision supporting for ecological urban planning under the background of urban expansion.

Key words: potential ecological suitability evaluation, urban construction land, urban expansion, cellular automata, Baoshan District,Shanghai

HE Zongfei, YU Jia, CHEN Yun, WEN Jiahong, YIN Zhan’e. Potential ecological suitability evaluation of urban construction land: A case study in Baoshan District, Shanghai[J].Resources Science, 2020, 42(3): 558-569.

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References 44

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因子	适宜性程度	分类条件	单因子分值	权重
高程	适宜	0~2 m	4	0.0632
高程	最适宜	2~3 m	5	0.0632
河流	最不适宜	河流本身	1	0.1761
河流	不适宜	60 m内区域	2	0.1761
植被	最不适宜	林地	1	0.2656
	不适宜	农田	2
	最适宜	非植被区	5
人口密度	最不适宜	人口密度低	1	0.2682
	不适宜	人口密度较低	2
	较不适宜	人口密度中等	3
	适宜	人口密度较高	4
	最适宜	人口密度高	5
未来城市建成区	最适宜	建成区区域	5	0.1301
未来城市建成区	较不适宜	非建成区区域	3	0.1301
道路	最适宜	250 m内区域	5	0.0968
	较不适宜	250~500 m区域	3
	最不适宜	>500 m区域	1

Potential ecological suitability evaluation of urban construction land: A case study in Baoshan District, Shanghai

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