Resources Science ›› 2018, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (11): 2202-2212.doi: 10.18402/resci.2018.11.07

• Orginal Article • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Studies on the spatio-temporal evolution and macro-mechanism of land circulation price in China

Ting DU1,2(), Daolin ZHU1,2()   

  1. 1. College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
    2. Key Laboratory of Agricultural Land Quality, Ministry of Land and Resources, Beijing 100193, China
  • Received:2018-05-02 Revised:2018-08-22 Online:2018-11-20 Published:2018-11-12


In recent years, the studies of land circulation are frequently seen in research field, but, up to now, there is still no general judgement on the basic situation of land circulation price in China. Based on the land circulation price data at the provincial level of 2009 and 2017, this paper adopts ESDA method and space econometric model to carry out the analysis of the spatio-temporal evolution and macro differentiation mechanism of land circulation price in China. The results show that land circulation price overall rose 33.28% between 2009 and 2017, but the growth rates were uneven among provinces. In general, the superposition area of the eastern developed regions and the main grain producing areas increased greatly, while the southeast coastal areas and the northwest hinterland increased slowly. Besides, the land circulation price was decreasing from east to west, and presented inverted u-shaped structure from north to south. Moreover, Land circulation price showed a significant "HH-LL" clustering structure among provinces, and with the development of land circulation market, the spillover effect is further strengthened. Finally, spatial econometric analysis shows that the differentiation of land circulation price among provinces in China is mainly affected by regional economic factors. With the development of land circulation market, the role of natural factors is decreasing, while the influence of regional economic factors and cultivated land resources endowment is further strengthened. Based on this study, this paper suggests that we should follow the objective law of spatial differentiation of land circulation price in China, avoid blind price comparison, timely regulate the land circulation price and restrain excessive capitalization of cultivated land.

Key words: land circulation price, cultivated land, spatio-temporal evolution, the gradation of the cultivated land, locational conditions, cultivated land resources endowment