中国碳排放增长的多层递进动因——基于SDA和SPD的实证研究

张炎治, 冯颖, 张磊

Analysis on the progressive motivation of carbon emissions growth in China using structural decomposition analysis and structural path decomposition methods

ZHANG Yanzhi, FENG Ying, ZHANG Lei

表9 增排效应最大的30条增排路径

Table 9 Top 30 critical paths increasing carbon emissions

排序	增排路径		CO₂增排量/t	增排贡献率/%	生产阶段
排序	产业链	影响因素	CO₂增排量/t	增排贡献率/%	生产阶段
2	$14 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	1.03E+08	8.61	2
3	$14 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ A_{1}^{d}$	6.74E+07	5.65	2
11	$14 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	3.17E+07	2.66	2
1	$13 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	1.22E+08	10.25	2
6	$13 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ U$	3.96E+07	3.32	2
5	$11 \to B$	$∆ U$	4.16E+07	3.49	1
8	$11 \to B$	$∆ H$	3.85E+07	3.22	1
10	$11 \to B$	$∆ T$	3.34E+07	2.80	1
7	$22 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ A_{1}^{d}$	3.93E+07	3.29	2
13	$22 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	3.12E+07	2.62	2
14	$14 \to 14 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	3.09E+07	2.59	3
22	$14 \to 14 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ A_{2}^{d}$	1.94E+07	1.63	3
25	$14 \to 14 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ A_{1}^{d}$	1.60E+07	1.34	3
4	$11 \to 27 \to B$	$∆ A_{1}^{d}$	5.83E+07	4.89	2
19	$14 \to F$	$∆ H$	2.03E+07	1.70	1
23	$14 \to F$	$∆ U$	1.78E+07	1.49	1
9	$11 \to 27 \to F$	$∆ A_{1}^{d}$	3.74E+07	3.14	2
24	$11 \to 13 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	1.75E+07	1.46	3
12	$27 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ T$	3.16E+07	2.65	2
15	$11 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	3.02E+07	2.54	2
16	$11 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ T$	2.67E+07	2.24	2
17	$11 \to 27 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ A_{1}^{d}$	2.58E+07	2.16	3
18	$13 \to 13 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	2.38E+07	2.00	3
20	$22 \to 14 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ H$	2.00E+07	1.68	3
21	$22 \to A$	$∆ H$	1.98E+07	1.66	1
26	$28 \to C$	$∆ T$	1.60E+07	1.34	1
27	$11 \to 13 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ T$	1.52E+07	1.28	3
28	$12 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ A_{1}^{d}$	1.49E+07	1.25	2
29	$12 \to F$	$∆ H$	1.46E+07	1.23	1
30	$22 \to 22 \to 25 \to D$	$∆ A_{2}^{d}$	1.41E+07	1.18	3
合计	-	-	1.02E+09	85.35	-