中国碳排放增长的多层递进动因——基于SDA和SPD的实证研究

张炎治, 冯颖, 张磊

Analysis on the progressive motivation of carbon emissions growth in China using structural decomposition analysis and structural path decomposition methods

ZHANG Yanzhi, FENG Ying, ZHANG Lei

表8 30条增排产业链的结构分解

Table 8 Structural decomposition of carbon emissions growth in the top 30 industrial chains

排序	产业链	CO₂增排量/t	增排贡献率/%
排序	产业链	CO₂增排量/t	$f (∆ S)$	$f (∆ T)$	$f (∆ A_{2}^{d})$	$f (∆ A_{1}^{d})$	$f (∆ U)$	$f (∆ H)$
1	$14 \to 25 \to D$	1.72E+08	0.31	-17.39	-	39.08	18.39	59.61
2	$11 \to B$	1.11E+08	-2.58	30.22	-	-	37.61	34.75
3	$13 \to 25 \to D$	9.43E+07	-1.25	-45.74	-	-24.54	41.96	129.57
4	$11 \to 25 \to D$	6.77E+07	-3.30	39.42	-	5.83	13.37	44.68
5	$22 \to 25 \to D$	6.67E+07	-0.74	-18.98	-	58.87	14.07	46.78
6	$14 \to 14 \to 25 \to D$	6.65E+07	0.24	-13.88	29.17	23.99	13.98	46.51
7	$27 \to 25 \to D$	4.48E+07	-0.53	70.65		-7.13	8.07	28.95
8	$11 \to 27 \to 25 \to D$	3.80E+07	-1.46	15.81	-3.63	67.90	4.13	17.26
9	$11 \to 14 \to 25 \to D$	3.43E+07	-2.88	34.05	23.06	-3.93	11.26	38.44
10	$12 \to 25 \to D$	3.27E+07	1.29	10.35	-	45.70	9.49	33.17
11	$11 \to 27 \to B$	3.11E+07	-1.58	17.36	-	187.51	-122.72	19.43
12	$14 \to F$	3.04E+07	0.46	-25.85	-	-	58.61	66.78
13	$11 \to 28 \to C$	2.88E+07	-3.68	44.27	-	31.84	-0.07	27.63
14	$22 \to 22 \to 25 \to D$	2.85E+07	-0.65	-16.83	49.40	15.23	12.06	40.79
15	$22 \to 14 \to 25 \to D$	2.81E+07	-1.10	-27.76	47.83	-12.42	22.29	71.16
16	$11 \to 27 \to F$	2.69E+07	-1.53	16.73	-	138.87	-68.12	14.06
17	$14 \to 25 \to 25 \to D$	2.61E+07	0.22	-12.44	53.24	5.69	12.17	41.12
18	$11 \to A$	2.51E+07	-1.94	22.02	-	-	55.32	24.60
19	$12 \to B$	2.50E+07	1.37	10.99	-	-	51.47	36.17
20	$11 \to 28 \to B$	2.48E+07	-3.58	43.08	-	30.87	-20.44	50.07
21	$13 \to 13 \to 25 \to D$	2.27E+07	-1.03	-37.47	-19.70	19.37	33.72	105.11
22	$11 \to 13 \to 25 \to D$	2.22E+07	-5.57	68.65	-14.47	-52.06	24.81	78.64
23	$28 \to C$	2.22E+07	-2.37	71.96	-	-	-0.08	30.48
24	$28 \to B$	1.92E+07	-2.30	69.72	-	-	-22.66	55.25
25	$22 \to A$	1.87E+07	-1.59	-40.04	-	-	35.76	105.87
26	$25 \to D$	1.86E+07	-8.39	14.23	-	-	22.47	71.70
27	$11 \to 12 \to 25 \to D$	1.85E+07	-2.31	26.69	39.21	-1.88	8.39	29.90
28	$12 \to F$	1.74E+07	4.13	34.03	-	-	-22.23	84.07
29	$11 \to F$	1.60E+07	-6.67	82.72	-	-	-45.56	69.51
30	$26 \to B$	1.44E+07	-0.20	-13.96	-	-	89.62	24.54
合计		1.19E+09	-1.33	7.47	5.61	20.70	14.39	53.16