气候变化背景下人工造雪技术提升对中国滑雪季节长度的影响
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方琰, DanielScott, RobertSteiger, 吴必虎, 蒋依依
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Impact of snow-making technology improvement on ski season length in China under climate change
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FANG Yan, Daniel SCOTT, Robert STEIGER, WU Bihu, JIANG Yiyi
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表4 中国主要省份滑雪季节长度变化比例
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Table 4 Projected changes in ski season length under different climate change scenarios (%)
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| 区域 | 省份 | RCP 4.5 | | RCP 8.5 | | 2020s | | 2050s | | 2080s | 2020s | | 2050s | | 2080s | | | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | | 华北 | 北京 | -19 | -7 | | -61 | -21 | | -80 | -39 | | -22 | -8 | | -79 | -37 | | -97 | -86 | | 山西 | -8 | -4 | -23 | -11 | -40 | -16 | -8 | -5 | -40 | -17 | -68 | -54 | | 天津 | -5 | -4 | -14 | -10 | -22 | -15 | -6 | -5 | -23 | -16 | -64 | -35 | | 内蒙古 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -4 | -6 | -6 | -1 | 0 | -6 | -6 | -13 | -12 | | 河北 | -7 | -3 | -15 | -7 | -20 | -13 | -7 | -2 | -19 | -13 | -31 | -27 | | 东北 | 黑龙江 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -3 | -5 | -4 | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | -10 | -8 | | 吉林 | -2 | -1 | -5 | -3 | -9 | -6 | -2 | -1 | -9 | -5 | -17 | -14 | | 辽宁 | -4 | -4 | -13 | -10 | -19 | -13 | -6 | -5 | -19 | -14 | -33 | -32 | | 西北 | 新疆 | -2 | -2 | -5 | -4 | -7 | -6 | -2 | -2 | -8 | -6 | -16 | -13 | | 甘肃 | -5 | -3 | -9 | -8 | -13 | -12 | -4 | -3 | -13 | -11 | -25 | -22 | | 宁夏 | -3 | -3 | -10 | -10 | -14 | -14 | -3 | -4 | -14 | -14 | -30 | -25 | | 青海 | -1 | -1 | -5 | -4 | -8 | -6 | -6 | -2 | -8 | -6 | -21 | -17 | | 陕西 | -8 | -5 | -23 | -11 | -34 | -17 | -9 | -6 | -36 | -17 | -65 | -41 | | 华东 | 山东 | -18 | -7 | -54 | -23 | -76 | -39 | -23 | -7 | -75 | -38 | -95 | -85 | | 华中 | 河南 | -21 | -8 | -51 | -20 | -66 | -33 | -22 | -8 | -68 | -35 | -92 | -75 |
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