农户尺度的耕地撂荒影响因素及空间分异

郭贝贝, 方叶林, 周寅康

Influencing factors and spatial differentiation of cultivated land abandonment at the household scale

GUO Beibei, FANG Yelin, ZHOU Yinkang

表3 耕地利用行为与家庭农业劳动人口数回归系数（对数）与边际效应

Table 3 Regression coefficients and marginal effect of cultivated land use behaviors and household agricultural labors

人口（x₂）	样本量	退耕		显性撂荒		隐性撂荒		耕地转出		耕地转入
人口（x₂）	样本量	系数	边际效应	系数	边际效应	系数	边际效应	系数	边际效应	系数	边际效应
1	9459	-0.480	-0.011*	0.211	0.004*	0.148***	0.011***	-0.382***	0.027***	0.064	0.004***
1	9459	(0.373)	(0.006)	(0.309)	(0.005)	(0.043)	(0.006)	(0.094)	(0.006)	(0.055)	(0.005)
2	1728	-21.850***	-0.038***	-0.332	0.080***	-2.572***	0.037***	-1.516**	-0.167	0.412***	0.080
2	1728	(0.413)	(0.001)	(0.531)	(0.014)	(0.454)	(0.006)	(0.599)	(0.013)	(0.101)	(0.014)
3	275	-19.810***	-0.038***	2.273***	0.045***	-22.070***	0.058***	-21.02***	-0.196***	0.107	0.045***
3	275	(0.438)	(0.001)	(0.411)	(0.023)	(0.151)	(0.002)	(0.208)	(0.004)	(0.190)	(0.023)
4	102	-20.360***	-0.038***	1.824***	0.180***	-22.120***	0.056***	-21.15***	-0.196***	0.993***	0.180***
4	102	(0.650)	(0.001)	(0.564)	(0.044)	(0.222)	(0.003)	(0.364)	(0.004)	(0.251)	(0.044)
5	16	-20.470***	-0.038***	-15.170***	0.032***	-22.360***	-0.068***	-20.910***	-0.196***	-0.0189	0.032***
5	16	(1.038)	(0.001)	(0.777)	(0.071)	(0.413)	(0.001)	(0.458)	(0.004)	(0.608)	(0.071)
6	1	-18.550***	-0.038***	-16.770***	-0.116***	-23.420***	-0.068***	-22.130***	-0.196***	-25.010***	-0.116***
6	1	(1.475)	(0.001)	(1.170)	(0.005)	(1.016)	(0.001)	(1.013)	(0.004)	(0.970)	(0.005)
8	1	-15.240***	-0.038***	-2.200	-0.116	-23.290***	0.016***	-21.620***	-0.196***	-24.620***	-0.116***
8	1	(1.800)	(0.001)	(4.231)	(0.005)	(1.020)	(0.092)	(1.022)	(0.004)	(0.997)	(0.005)