供需错配下能源替代路径优化
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严良,熊伟伟,王小林,王腾
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Energy substitution path optimization under supply and demand mismatch
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YAN Liang,XIONG Weiwei,WANG Xiaolin,WANG Teng
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表7 价格策略下能源消费结构变动状况
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Table 7 Changes in energy consumption structure of price strategy (%)
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| 能源 | 基准情景 | | 变动范围增加1% | | 变动范围增加2% | | 变动范围减少1% | | 2030 | 2050 | 2030 | 2050 | 2030 | 2050 | 2030 | 2050 | | 煤炭 | 56.02 | 49.21 | | 55.54 | 47.93 | | 55.09 | 46.78 | | 56.30 | 49.97 | | 石油 | 16.79 | 17.31 | 16.93 | 17.61 | 17.04 | 17.86 | 16.99 | 18.02 | | 天然气 | 9.19 | 10.56 | 9.22 | 10.63 | 9.25 | 10.68 | 9.11 | 10.36 | | 一次电力及其他 | 18.00 | 22.92 | 18.31 | 23.83 | 18.62 | 24.68 | 17.60 | 21.65 |
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