碳市场合理初始价格区间测算

宋亚植,刘天森,梁大鹏,王世进

Reasonable initial price interval calculation of carbon market

Yazhi SONG,Tiansen LIU,Dapeng LIANG,Shijin WANG

表2 惩罚规模与市场短缺概率对初始碳价格解释程度

Table 2 Explanatory power of penalty scale and market shortage probability on initial carbon price setting

碳强度水平 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.9 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 惩罚规模/% 97.54 97.60 97.65 97.71 97.76 97.81 97.85 97.90 97.94 97.98 市场短缺概率/% 2.45 2.40 2.35 2.22 2.24 2.19 2.15 2.10 2.06 2.02