基于CGE模型的中国煤炭产能政策优化
|
贺玲, 崔琦, 陈浩, 宋涛
|
Policy optimization of coal production capacity in China based on a computable general equilibrium model
|
Ling HE, Qi CUI, Hao CHEN, Tao SONG
|
|
表2 不同煤炭产能政策情景对宏观经济的影响 |
Table 2 Macroeconomic impacts of different coal production capacity policies (%) |
|
| 降产量政策 | | 税收政策 | | 去产能政策 | S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | S5 | S6 | S7 | S8 | S9 | 实际GDP | -0.51 | -0.50 | -0.48 | | -0.06 | -0.05 | -0.02 | | -0.18 | -0.14 | -0.12 | 居民消费 | -0.25 | -0.25 | -0.24 | | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.00 | | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.05 | 投资 | -0.10 | -0.09 | -0.09 | | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.01 | | -0.03 | -0.03 | -0.02 | 就业量 | -0.30 | -0.29 | -0.27 | | -0.04 | -0.04 | -0.02 | | -0.12 | -0.09 | -0.08 | CPI | -0.03 | -0.03 | -0.03 | | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 名义工资 | -0.03 | -0.03 | -0.03 | | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 资本租金 | -0.55 | -0.52 | -0.49 | | -0.20 | -0.16 | -0.14 | | -0.11 | -0.09 | -0.06 |
|
|
|