中国省际能源尾效及其影响因素

谢品杰, 穆卓文

Measurement and influencing factors of the growth drag of energy in China

Pinjie XIE, Zhuowen MU

表5 按地理区域、能效水平和尾效程度分组的系统GMM回归结果

Table 5 System GMM (generalized method of moments) regression results grouped by geographic region, energy efficiency level, and growth drag

ln[1+Drag(-1)] lnIS3 lnUZS lnRD ln△GDP lnEP lnES cons AR（2） Sargan 地域 东 0.260*** [3.98] 0.031 [1.51] -0.021 [-1.26] -0.002 [-0.30] 0.040*** [4.23] 0.216*** [4.68] -0.006 [-0.19] 0.138*** [4.48] 0.350 0.815 中 0.204*** [5.58] 0.136*** [6.36] -0.033** [-1.90] -0.002 [-0.17] 0.055*** [6.36] 0.353*** [3.95] -0.014 [-0.16] 0.264*** [4.99] 0.308 0.378 西 0.486*** [7.17] -0.024 [-0.75] -0.003 [-0.25] -0.012 [-0.88] 0.025* [1.68] 0.248*** [3.82] -0.047 [-1.16] 0.069 [1.45] 0.936 0.887 能效 低 0.333*** [5.78] -0.001 [-0.53] -0.025 [-1.41] -0.045*** [-3.06] 0.036*** [2.82] 0.236*** [4.17] -0.062 [-0.88] 0.111** [1.98] 0.188 0.138 中 0.199*** [4.54] 0.086** [2.57] -0.005 [-0.25] 0.007 [0.50] 0.025** [2.45] 0.486*** [6.87] -0.134 [-1.26] 0.191*** [3.85] 0.778 0.242 高 0.116** [2.23] 0.053*** [3.26] -0.026** [-2.51] -0.008 [-1.54] 0.071*** [6.87] 0.169*** [5.91] -0.067** [-2.32] 0.253*** [7.94] 0.288 0.132 尾效 低 0.270*** [4.03] 0.058* [1.89] -0.020 [-1.48] -0.008 [-0.88] 0.033*** [3.03] 0.319*** [4.61] -0.105 [-1.57] 0.167*** [3.97] 0.451 0.388 中 0.088 [1.16] 0.038** [2.03] -0.024* [-1.85] 0.002 [0.42] 0.071*** [4.69] 0.159*** [3.28] -0.027 [-1.22] 0.224*** [5.08] 0.159 0.614 高 0.445*** [6.96] -0.011 [-0.32] 0.007 [0.53] -0.013 [-1.43] 0.028** [2.04] 0.271*** [4.55] 0.013 [0.28] 0.088* [1.77] 0.646 0.471