长江经济带外向型经济空间溢出效应

蔡冰冰,赵威,李政旸,杨慧

Spatial spillover effects of export-oriented economic development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

CAI Bingbing,ZHAO Wei,LI Zhengyang,YANG Hui

表5 长江经济带外向型经济空间计量模型回归结果

Table 5 Regression results of spatial econometric models of export-oriented economic development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

解释变量 邻近权重 地理距离权重 经济引力模型权重 SAR SEM SDM SAR SEM SDM SAR SEM SDM lnPFI 0.078*** [0.005] 0.077*** [0.012] 0.071*** [0.011] 0.067*** [0.005] 0.063*** [0.011] 0.059*** [0.010] 0.071*** [0.005] 0.067*** [0.011] 0.064*** [0.011] lnSI 0.041* [0.012] 0.044 [0.028] 0.025** [0.009] 0.042** [0.0160] 0.049** [0.018] 0.044** [0.017] 0.042*** [0.008] 0.048** [0.018] 0.051** [0.018] lnTI 0.112*** [0.012] 0.115*** [0.022] 0.119*** [0.028] 0.093*** [0.011] 0.095*** [0.025] 0.105*** [0.029] 0.098*** [0.011] 0.095*** [0.025] 0.108*** [0.033] lnVPT 0.034*** [0.005] 0.029* [0.014] 0.036** [0.011] 0.040*** [0.004] 0.045*** [0.012] 0.043*** [0.012] 0.042*** [0.004] 0.045*** [0.012] 0.045*** [0.012] lnRS -0.002 [0.004] 0.002* [0.002] -0.001 [0.007] 0.001 [0.003] 0.001 [0.008] 0.002 [0.008] -0.001 [0.003] -0.001 [0.008] 0.001 [0.009] lnTC 0.066*** [0.015] 0.075** [0.029] 0.084* [0.035] 0.043 [0.033] 0.057 [0.032] 0.053** [0.014] 0.045 [0.038] 0.0560 [0.033] 0.053** [0.014] lnLRW 0.005 [0.003] -0.001 [0.007] 0.004* [0.002] -0.004 [0.003] -0.003 [0.007] -0.004 [0.007] -0.002 [0.003] -0.001 [0.007] -0.003 [0.008] lnRP 0.040*** [0.005] 0.056*** [0.012] 0.050*** [0.011] 0.045*** [0.005] 0.049*** [0.010] 0.047*** [0.010] 0.045*** [0.005] 0.045*** [0.010] 0.046*** [0.011] ρ 0.338*** [0.019] —— 0.555*** [0.046] 0.512*** [0.021] —— 0.710*** [0.054] 0.441*** [0.021] —— 0.004*** [0.001] λ —— 0.624*** [0.049] —— —— 0.815*** [0.049] —— —— 0.771*** [0.047] —— AIC -3523.7 -3632.2 -3719.3 -3712.2 -3712.3 -3754.8 -3544.2 -3637.3 -3547.4 BIC -3471.5 -3580.0 -3541.9 -3660.0 -3660.1 -3577.3 -3492.0 -3585.1 -3369.9 log L 2377.630 2428.158 2496.244 1866.091 1866.131 1911.383 1782.080 1828.656 1828.656