长江三角洲地区用水量时空差异的驱动效应研究
张陈俊, 赵存学, 林琳, 余许友

Driving effect of spatial-temporal differences in water consumption in the Yangtze River Delta
Chenjun ZHANG, Cunxue ZHAO, Lin LIN, Xuyou YU
表2 2000—2015年长江三角洲地区用水量时间变化的驱动效应及贡献率
Table 2 Driving effects and contribution rate of time change of water use in Yangtze River Delta region from 2000 to 2015 (亿m3,%)
省份 年份 强度效应 结构效应 收入效应 人口效应 总效应
上海 2000—2005 -45.87
(-410.70)
-7.17
(-64.18)
45.90
(410.93)
18.31
(163.94)
11.17
(100)
2005—2010 -46.45
(-841.43)
-12.92
(-234.09)
40.73
(737.88)
24.16
(437.63)
5.52
(100)
2010—2015 -45.31
(205.31)
-16.28
(73.77)
34.12
(-154.59)
5.40
(-24.49)
-22.07
(100)
2000—2015 -123.65
(2 298.41)
-33.34
(619.72)
108.95
(-2 025.05)
42.67
(-793.08)
-5.38
(100)
江苏 2000—2005 -114.47
(-165.52)
-106.97
(-154.67)
273.86
(395.98)
16.73
(24.20)
69.16
(100)
2005—2010 -188.98
(-552.09)
-114.26
(-333.80)
318.16
(929.47)
19.31
(56.42)
34.23
(100)
2010—2015 -153.69
(-653.71)
-79.90
(-339.85)
249.52
(1 061.31)
7.58
(32.24)
23.51
(100)
2000—2015 -439.68
(-346.48)
-292.40
(-230.42)
816.14
(643.14)
42.84
(33.76)
126.90
(100)
浙江 2000—2005 -81.89
(1 637.83)
-44.68
(893.70)
108.81
(-2 176.23)
12.77
(-255.30)
-5.00
(100)
2005—2010 -72.63
(3 013.59)
-38.48
(1 596.79)
91.68
(-3 804.18)
17.02
(-706.20)
-2.41
(100)
2010—2015 -59.95
(456.24)
-25.77
(196.15)
69.45
(-528.57)
3.13
(-23.83)
-13.14
(100)
2000—2015 -207.01
(1 007.32)
-108.45
(527.72)
263.03
(-1 279.97)
31.87
(-155.07)
-20.55
(100)