收入增长与老龄化对城镇居民食物消费水足迹的影响
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许菲, 张彩萍, 白军飞
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Impact of income growth and aging on the water footprintof food consumption in urban China
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Fei XU, Caiping ZHANG, Junfei BAI
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| 表7 中国城镇居民食物消费水足迹总量预测 |
| Table 7 Forecast of food consumption water footprint in urban China |
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| 年份 | 收入增长方案下中国城镇居民食物消费水
足迹总量预测值/（万亿m3/年） | | 同时考虑老龄化后居民食物消费水
足迹总量预测值变化/（亿m3/年） | | 方案1 | | 方案2 | 方案3 | 方案4 | 方案5 | 方案6 | | 2017 | 0.988 | 0.987 | 0.986 | | -9.7 | -9.7 | -9.7 | | 2018 | 1.042 | 1.039 | 1.035 | -12.4 | -12.4 | -12.4 | | 2019 | 1.094 | 1.087 | 1.081 | -15.4 | -15.3 | -15.3 | | 2020 | 1.144 | 1.132 | 1.121 | -18.6 | -18.5 | -18.3 | | 2021 | 1.191 | 1.173 | 1.156 | -22.1 | -21.8 | -21.5 | | 2022 | 1.236 | 1.209 | 1.184 | -25.7 | -25.2 | -24.8 | | 2023 | 1.276 | 1.240 | 1.205 | -29.6 | -28.8 | -28.1 | | 2024 | 1.312 | 1.264 | 1.219 | -33.5 | -32.4 | -31.4 | | 2025 | 1.344 | 1.283 | 1.225 | -37.6 | -36.1 | -34.6 | | 2026 | 1.370 | 1.294 | 1.223 | -41.8 | -39.7 | -37.6 | | 2027 | 1.391 | 1.299 | 1.213 | -46.0 | -43.2 | -40.5 | | 2028 | 1.406 | 1.296 | 1.195 | -50.2 | -46.5 | -43.2 | | 2029 | 1.415 | 1.287 | 1.170 | -54.3 | -49.7 | -45.5 | | 2030 | 1.418 | 1.270 | 1.138 | -58.3 | -52.6 | -47.4 | | 2035 | 1.261 | 1.030 | 0.841 | -63.2 | -52.1 | -42.9 |
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