东亚垂直分工对中国对外贸易隐含碳的影响研究——基于MRIO-SDA方法跨期比较
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钱志权, 杨来科
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The impact of East Asia vertical specialization on China’s embodied carbon emissions: an inter-temporal MRIO-SDA analysis
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QIAN Zhiquan,YANG Laike
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| 表1 中国对东亚经济体出口隐含碳行业分解 |
| Table 1 Structural decomposition of China’s export embodied carbon dioxide to East Asia at industrial level （万t） |
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| 1997-2002年 | 2002-2007年 | 2007-2012年 | 分解项目
行业 | 总效应 | 能源
效率 | 系数
效应 | 结构
效应 | 规模
效应 | 总效应 | 能源
效率 | 系数
效应 | 结构
效应 | 规模
效应 | 总效应 | 能源
效率 | 系数
效应 | 结构
效应 | 规模
效应 | | 农林牧 | -212.5 | -445.1 | -26.5 | -57.8 | 316.9 | 105.8 | -294.8 | -99.2 | -142.9 | 642.7 | -98.2 | -357.6 | -39.9 | 46.1 | 253.2 | | 采掘业 | -238.4 | -574.7 | 32.3 | -22.5 | 326.5 | 1 208.9 | -434.0 | 243.8 | 361.1 | 1 038.1 | -447.0 | -465.8 | -193.0 | -383.0 | 594.8 | | 食品制造 | -437.5 | -973.1 | -93.6 | 35.4 | 593.8 | 1 205.0 | -10.7 | -38.2 | -255.7 | 1 509.6 | -204.4 | -946.5 | -83.3 | 7.3 | 818.1 | | 纺织业 | -664.5 | -1 071.6 | -16.1 | -228.1 | 651.2 | 891.0 | -167.5 | -94.4 | -281.4 | 1 434.3 | -262.1 | -897.0 | 20.2 | -85.0 | 699.7 | | 木材加工 | -71.6 | -77.3 | -11.3 | -28.0 | 45.1 | 107.1 | -4.3 | 17.5 | -9.3 | 103.3 | -27.2 | -67.4 | -11.4 | -8.6 | 60.2 | | 造纸业 | -131.5 | -247.4 | -7.6 | -31.5 | 155.0 | 239.3 | -208.9 | 55.0 | 22.9 | 370.2 | -88.6 | -210.9 | -8.3 | -44.7 | 175.4 | | 石化炼焦 | -251.4 | -1 013.3 | 159.1 | -78.8 | 681.6 | 1 809.8 | -550.8 | 84.6 | 230.4 | 2 045.6 | 623.8 | -1 465.0 | -113.4 | 864.3 | 1 337.8 | | 化工制药 | -383.1 | -970.7 | 37.6 | -21.8 | 571.8 | 1 597.2 | -127.1 | -26.8 | 136.7 | 1 614.4 | -35.1 | -1174.6 | 107.7 | 45.7 | 986.2 | | 橡胶塑料 | 118.9 | 21.4 | -1.4 | -2.6 | 101.5 | 243.3 | -67.0 | -74.3 | -0.6 | 385.2 | -53.1 | -230.5 | -25.2 | 10.3 | 192.4 | | 非金属制品 | -583.7 | -603.3 | -109.6 | -115.8 | 244.9 | 668.7 | 271.2 | -12.6 | -76.3 | 486.4 | -99.5 | -372.3 | -49.7 | -4.1 | 326.6 | | 基本金属 | 142.7 | -378.5 | 26.6 | 54.6 | 440.0 | 2 405.0 | -376.2 | 515.9 | 407.8 | 1 857.5 | -517.3 | -1 343.9 | -61.7 | -298.3 | 1 186.5 | | 金属制品 | -171.5 | -318.1 | -8.0 | -28.2 | 182.7 | 547.8 | -196.7 | 137.5 | 97.6 | 509.4 | -120.8 | -354.0 | -19.7 | -45.7 | 298.7 | | 机械设备 | -51.7 | -532.0 | 89.4 | 53.6 | 337.3 | 1 252.3 | -46.6 | 101.5 | 76.7 | 1 120.8 | -210.8 | -794.9 | -10.3 | -93.8 | 688.1 | | 计算机办公 | 147.1 | -89.2 | 46.1 | 66.2 | 124.0 | 531.8 | -50.2 | 62.7 | -13.8 | 533.1 | -21.4 | -446.1 | 23.3 | 62.0 | 339.3 | | 电力设备 | -78.5 | -580.5 | 79.2 | 111.6 | 311.1 | 1124.3 | -140.0 | 143.1 | 121.7 | 999.6 | -154.6 | -758.9 | 21.7 | -44.1 | 626.7 | | 通讯设备 | 365.1 | -76.0 | 64.6 | 129.9 | 246.6 | 1939.1 | 344.0 | 126.0 | 107.8 | 1361.2 | -115.3 | -1 192.9 | 7.6 | 80.4 | 989.7 | | 精密仪器 | -22.2 | -65.2 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 30.4 | 188.1 | 68.6 | -6.6 | 15.1 | 111.0 | -28.2 | -99.8 | -1.7 | -10.9 | 84.2 | | 汽车制造 | -9.6 | -297.1 | 37.4 | 20.6 | 229.5 | 857.4 | 176.4 | -61.3 | -40.5 | 782.9 | -41.9 | -571.4 | 62.3 | -24.0 | 491.2 | | 其他交通设备 | 28.6 | -91.2 | 26.5 | 32.9 | 60.4 | 297.8 | 41.9 | -1.2 | 11.2 | 246.0 | 6.9 | -202.2 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 167.9 | | 其他制造业 | -144.9 | -118.1 | -120.5 | -54.9 | 148.6 | 520.8 | -150.9 | 110.4 | 124.9 | 436.4 | -106.0 | -340.4 | -12.6 | -24.9 | 271.9 | | 水电气 | 6 042.6 | -2 350.2 | 496.2 | -206.1 | 8 102.6 | 29 114.6 | -8 643.2 | 2 798.0 | 3 094.3 | 31 865.6 | 1 484.0 | -7 485.8 | -4 264.2 | -5 704.8 | 18 938.9 | | 建筑业 | -350.1 | -875.3 | -101.9 | -138.2 | 765.4 | 1 247.2 | -1 231.0 | 316.9 | 116.3 | 2 045.0 | -228.0 | -1 822.1 | 317.9 | 237.8 | 1 038.5 | | 批发零售 | 37.8 | -114.5 | 39.7 | 2.9 | 109.8 | 64.0 | -114.5 | -82.7 | -30.8 | 292.0 | -63.2 | -233.1 | 39.1 | 13.2 | 117.6 | | 住宿餐饮 | -67.9 | -163.7 | 15.5 | 7.2 | 73.2 | 119.4 | -92.6 | 33.7 | 11.5 | 166.8 | -34.5 | -167.3 | 24.4 | 21.5 | 86.9 | | 交通运输 | 656.2 | -1 754.7 | 603.2 | 217.6 | 1 590.0 | 5 497.1 | -1 730.9 | 911.9 | 510.3 | 5 805.7 | -1 866.8 | -3 832.3 | -676.5 | -538.9 | 3 180.9 | | 邮电通信 | -44.7 | -87.2 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 30.7 | 38.6 | -8.9 | -4.7 | -1.4 | 53.5 | -15.0 | -31.8 | -6.7 | -3.0 | 26.5 | | 金融保险 | -12.9 | -74.5 | 20.1 | 3.8 | 37.7 | 100.0 | 17.8 | -20.4 | -6.4 | 109.1 | -28.9 | -100.5 | 10.5 | 0.2 | 60.9 | | 房地产 | 26.5 | -1.4 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 17.6 | 6.2 | -78.3 | 14.1 | 6.3 | 64.1 | -11.2 | -37.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 21.7 | | 租赁 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 计算机服务 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 研究发展 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.8 | 35.4 | 19.9 | 5.3 | 10.2 | -9.5 | -41.2 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 24.9 | | 其他商业 | -3.7 | -63.9 | 17.1 | 7.2 | 35.9 | 122.9 | 91.3 | -53.6 | -44.8 | 130.0 | -35.1 | -118.7 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 68.9 | | 公共管理 | -11.7 | -39.9 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 22.0 | 9.2 | -33.9 | 2.8 | -5.6 | 45.9 | -12.0 | -28.9 | -0.9 | 0.7 | 17.1 | | 教育 | 56.3 | 18.1 | 9.7 | 5.8 | 22.7 | 77.5 | -42.1 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 113.2 | -32.0 | -96.7 | 8.2 | 0.2 | 56.3 | | 医疗服务 | -20.2 | -153.1 | 42.0 | 6.5 | 84.4 | 219.2 | -762.1 | 382.8 | 199.5 | 399.1 | -70.0 | -232.6 | 23.8 | 2.7 | 136.0 | | 合计 | 3 658.0 | -14 161.2 | 1 373.6 | -245.2 | 16 690.8 | 54 427.5 | -14 516.8 | 5 505.0 | 4 751.5 | 58 687.9 | -2 923.3 | -26 520.4 | -4 892.7 | -5 873.7 | 34 363.4 |
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