中国碳超载下碳锁定与解锁路径实证研究

汪中华, 成鹏飞

China's carbon lock-in and unlocking in the context of carbon loading

WANG Zhonghua,CHENG Pengfei

表3 1990-2014年中国碳汇量、碳排放量、碳超载量以及碳超载率

Table 3 Carbon sinks carbon emissions,carbon overload and carbon overloading rate of China from 1990 to 2014 （亿t）

年份 Bf Bg Bs E1 E2 E3 Bc Ec Oc Rc /% 1990 3.796 0.131 0.998 5.175 0.384 1.102 11.117 6.661 -4.516 -40.406 1991 3.796 0.164 1.009 5.501 0.464 1.137 11.221 7.102 -4.119 -36.709 1992 3.796 0.164 1.020 5.849 0.581 1.178 11.233 7.608 -3.624 -32.266 1993 3.796 0.164 1.030 6.013 0.685 1.231 11.242 7.929 -3.313 -29.472 1994 3.796 0.164 1.006 6.158 0.753 1.328 11.218 8.239 -2.979 -26.556 1995 3.796 0.164 1.067 6.736 0.814 1.418 11.279 8.969 -2.310 -20.485 1996 3.796 0.164 1.146 5.799 0.931 1.310 11.358 8.040 -3.319 -29.217 1997 4.134 0.164 1.142 6.342 1.006 1.414 11.692 8.762 -2.929 -25.054 1998 4.134 0.164 1.176 6.461 1.050 1.451 11.725 8.962 -2.764 -23.570 1999 4.596 0.164 1.159 6.358 1.123 1.562 12.171 9.043 -3.128 -25.702 2000 4.596 0.164 1.055 7.221 1.170 1.470 12.067 9.860 -2.207 -18.286 2001 4.596 0.164 1.049 7.445 1.295 1.456 12.061 10.196 -1.865 -15.465 2002 4.596 0.164 1.067 7.826 1.420 1.457 12.079 10.703 -1.376 -11.391 2003 4.596 0.164 1.010 9.201 1.689 1.463 12.022 12.353 0.331 2.754 2004 5.079 0.164 1.104 10.613 1.894 1.496 12.600 14.003 1.403 11.138 2005 5.079 0.164 1.135 12.013 2.094 1.508 12.630 15.615 2.984 23.627 2006 5.079 0.164 1.195 13.214 2.423 1.502 12.690 17.140 4.450 35.065 2007 5.079 0.164 1.218 14.099 2.667 1.543 12.713 18.309 5.595 44.011 2008 5.079 0.164 1.288 14.573 2.789 1.556 12.783 18.918 6.135 47.992 2009 6.173 0.161 1.282 15.369 3.221 1.591 13.868 20.181 6.313 45.526 2010 6.173 0.161 1.310 16.471 3.687 1.609 13.896 21.767 7.872 56.648 2011 6.173 0.161 1.371 18.085 4.113 1.617 13.957 23.814 9.857 70.624 2012 6.173 0.161 1.425 18.732 4.329 1.638 14.011 24.700 10.689 76.292 2013 6.173 0.161 1.456 22.005 4.740 1.656 14.042 28.401 14.359 102.260 2014 6.173 0.161 1.462 22.652 4.882 1.675 14.048 29.210 15.162 107.927