2020年中国能源消费总量预测——基于定基能源消费弹性系数法

刘卫东, 仲伟周, 石清

Forecast of China's total energy consumption in 2020 based on method of fixed base energy consumption elasticity coefficient

LIU Weidong,ZHONG Weizhou,SHI Qing

表3 Lag length criteria的结果

Table 3 Results of lag length criteria

Lag LogL LR FPE AIC SC HQ 0 112.427 NA 21.500e-08 -6.839 -6.703 -6.793 1 251.919 244.111 62.000e-12 -14.995 -14.445 -14.813 2 279.509 43.110* 19.700e-12 -16.157 -15.195* -15.838 3 291.640 16.679 16.900e-12* -16.353 -14.978 -15.897* 4 300.676 10.730 18.400e-12 -16.355* -14.568 -15.763