Resources Science ›› 2019, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (5): 872-883.doi: 10.18402/resci.2019.05.05
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Yongbin ZHAO1,2(), Jianhui CONG2,3(
), Jun YANG1,2,3, Yixuan ZHANG3
Received:
2018-09-08
Revised:
2018-12-06
Online:
2019-05-25
Published:
2019-05-25
Yongbin ZHAO, Jianhui CONG, Jun YANG, Yixuan ZHANG. An innovative allowance allocation method in China’s unified national emissions trading scheme[J].Resources Science, 2019, 41(5): 872-883.
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Table 1
Estimation results of China's economic development and carbon emission scenarios in 2030"
指标 | 2005年 | 2015年 | 2020年 | 2025年 | 2030年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP增长率(五年均值)(GRGDP)/% | — | — | 6.46 | 5.62 | 4.92 |
GDP/万亿元 | 27.04 | 68.64 | 93.87 | 123.38 | 156.86 |
第二产业增加值占比(SS)/% | 46.90 | 42.00 | 36.50 | 33.80 | 31.80 |
第二产业增加值(AVS)/万亿元 | 12.68 | 28.83 | 34.26 | 41.70 | 49.88 |
工业增加值/第二产业增加值(SI/S)/% | 88.74 | 81.58 | 82.24 | 87.00 | 90.00 |
工业增加值(AVI)/万亿元 | 11.34 | 23.52 | 28.18 | 36.28 | 44.89 |
工业增加值率(VARI)/% | 42.63 | 21.30 | — | — | 26.50 |
制造业增加值率(VARM)/% | 0.194 | 0.205 | 0.225 | 0.245 | 0.265 |
单位GDP碳排放(CC/GDP)/(t/万元) | 2.16 | 1.35 | 1.15 | 0.93 | 0.76 |
单位工业增加值碳排放(CC/AVI)/(t/万元) | 3.66 | 3.05 | 2.38 | 1.83 | 1.43 |
社会排放总量(CGDP)/亿t | 58.41 | 92.66 | 107.95 | 114.74 | 118.48 |
工业碳排放量(CI)/亿t | 41.45 | 71.80 | 81.59 | 66.46 | 64.15 |
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