Resources Science ›› 2018, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (6): 1209-1221.doi: 10.18402/resci.2018.06.11
• Orginal Article • Previous Articles Next Articles
Jie GAO1,3(), Yujie LIU1,2(
), Zhiming FENG1,4, Tao PAN1,2, Yanzhao YANG1,4, Hao ZHANG1
Received:
2017-10-15
Revised:
2018-04-04
Online:
2018-06-25
Published:
2018-06-22
Jie GAO, Yujie LIU, Zhiming FENG, Tao PAN, Yanzhao YANG, Hao ZHANG. Research on monitoring and early warning of land and water resources carrying capacity in the Tibet Autonomous Region[J].Resources Science, 2018, 40(6): 1209-1221.
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Table 1
Monitoring indexes system of water and land resources carrying capacity in Tibet Autonomous Region"
目标层 | 准则层 | 要素层 | 指标层 | 指标意义 | 数据来源/计算方法 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
水土资源承载力监测预警指标 | 水资源承载力监测预警指标 | 水资源承载力监测预警 | 人均水资源占有量 | 反映区域人均水资源占有量 | 水资源总量/区域常住人口 |
区域用水总量 | 反映区域水资源利用量 | 来源于《西藏水资源公报》[ | |||
万元工业增加值耗水 | 反映区域工业用水效率 | 工业取水总量/工业增加值 | |||
万元GDP耗水 | 反映区域水资源利用效率 | 区域用水总量/地区生产总值 | |||
水环境承载力监测预警 | 水功能区水质达标率 | 反映区域水资源质量 | 来源于《西藏水资源公报》[ | ||
土地资源承载力监测预警指标 | 生产性用地监测预警 | 人均粮食产量 | 反映区域人均粮食占有量 | 区域粮食总产量/区域常住人口 | |
人均耕地面积 | 反映区域耕地压力及人均耕地面积 | 区域耕地面积/区域常住人口 | |||
草畜平衡指数 | 反映区域草地合理载畜量与实际承载量之间的关系 | (草地实际载畜量-合理载畜量)/草地合理载畜量 | |||
城市人均建设用地 数量 | 反映区域人均建设用地面积 | 城市建设用地面积/区域常住人口 | |||
生态用地监测预警 | 草地退化程度 | 反映区域草地质量 | 利用NDVI计算 | ||
生态用地占比 | 反映区域生态用地的面积和占有量 | 生态用地(林地、草地、水域)面积/区域国土总面积 |
Table 2
Threshold interval for monitoring and warning indexes of water and land resources carrying capacity in Tibet Autonomous Region"
指标层 | 黄色预警 | 橙色预警 | 红色预警 |
---|---|---|---|
人均水资源占有量/m³ | [2 017,8 000) | [1 760,2 017) | <1 760 |
区域用水总量/亿m³ | [31,34) | [34,37) | ≥37 |
万元工业增加值耗水/m³ | [290,320) | [320,350) | ≥350 |
万元GDP耗水/m³ | [420,450) | [450,480) | ≥480 |
水功能区水质达标率/% | [95.5,96.0) | [95.0,95.5) | ≤95.0 |
人均粮食产量/kg | (350,400] | (300,350] | ≤300 |
人均耕地面积/m² | (850,1 000] | (700,850] | ≤700 |
草畜平衡指数/% | [0,20) | [20,80) | ≥80 |
城市人均建设用地数量/m² | [110,130) | [130,150) | ≥150 |
草地退化程度/% | [0,-20) | [-20,-50) | ≤-50 |
生态用地占比/% | [60,80) | [40,60) | <40 |
Table 3
Responsibility of early warning indexes of comprehensive monitoring of water and land resources carrying capacity in Tibet Autonomous Region"
水资源承载力监测预警指标 | 权重 | 土地资源承载力监测预警指标 | 权重 |
---|---|---|---|
人均水资源占有量 | 0.038 5 | 人均粮食产量 | 0.057 1 |
区域用水总量 | 0.182 8 | 人均耕地面积 | 0.146 2 |
万元工业增加值耗水 | 0.078 2 | 草畜平衡指数 | 0.146 2 |
万元GDP耗水 | 0.078 2 | 城市人均建设用地数量 | 0.025 5 |
水功能区水质达标率 | 0.125 0 | 草地退化程度 | 0.093 8 |
生态用地占比 | 0.031 3 |
Table 4
Standard list of indicators for early warning indexes of water and land resources carrying capacity in Tibet Autonomous Region"
指标 | 分值 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
人均水资源占有量/m³ | <1 760 | [1 760,2 000) | [2 000,4 000) | [4 000,6 000) | [6 000,8 000) | ≥8 000 |
区域用水总量/亿m³ | >37 | [37,35) | [35,33) | [33,31) | [31,30) | ≤30 |
万元工业增加值耗水/m³ | >350 | [350,325) | [325,300) | [300,275) | [275,250) | ≤250 |
万元GDP耗水/m³ | >480 | [480,450) | [450,420) | [420,390) | [390,360) | ≤360 |
水功能区水质达标率/% | <95.0 | [95.0,95.5) | [95.5,96.0) | [96.0,96.5) | [96.5,97.0) | ≥97.0 |
人均粮食产量/kg | <300 | [300,350) | [350,400) | [400,450) | [450,500) | ≥500 |
人均耕地面积/m2 | <700 | [700,850) | [850,1 000) | [1 000,1 150) | [1 150,1 300) | ≥1 300 |
草畜平衡指数/% | >80 | [80,60) | [60,40) | [40,20) | [20,0) | ≤0 |
城市人均建设用地数量/m2 | >1 500 | [1 500,1 000) | [1 000,500) | [500,200) | [200,150) | ≤150 |
草地退化程度/% | <-50 | [-50,-30) | [-30,-10) | [-10,10) | [10,30) | ≥30 |
生态用地占比/% | <40.0 | [40.0,50.0) | [50.0,60.0) | [60.0,70.0) | [70.0,80.0) | ≥80.0 |
Table 5
Standardization of early warning indicators for comprehensive monitoring of land and water carrying capacity of Tibet Autonomous Region from 2005 to 2014"
年份 | 人均水资源占有量 | 区域用水总量 | 万元工业增加值耗水 | 万元GDP耗水 | 水功能区水质达标率 | 人均粮食产量 | 人均耕地面积 | 草畜平衡指数 | 城市人均建设用地数量 | 草地退化程度 | 生态用地占比 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | 0.192 5 | 0.365 6 | 0.312 8 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.438 6 | 0.025 50 | 0 | 0.093 9 |
2006 | 0.192 5 | 0.182 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.438 6 | 0.025 50 | 0 | 0.093 9 |
2007 | 0.192 5 | 0.182 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.438 6 | 0.025 50 | 0.093 8 | 0.093 9 |
2008 | 0.192 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.584 8 | 0.025 50 | 0.093 8 | 0.093 9 |
2009 | 0.192 5 | 0.731 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.125 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.584 8 | 0.012 75 | 0 | 0.093 9 |
2010 | 0.192 5 | 0.182 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.584 8 | 0.012 75 | 0.093 8 | 0.093 9 |
2011 | 0.192 5 | 0.731 2 | 0.078 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.584 8 | 0.012 75 | 0.093 8 | 0.093 9 |
2012 | 0.192 5 | 0.914 0 | 0.234 6 | 0.156 4 | 0 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.731 0 | 0.012 75 | 0 | 0.125 2 |
2013 | 0.192 5 | 0.731 2 | 0.234 6 | 0.312 8 | 0.375 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.731 0 | 0.012 75 | 0.093 8 | 0.125 2 |
2014 | 0.192 5 | 0.731 2 | 0.312 8 | 0.391 0 | 0.500 | 0.057 1 | 0.146 2 | 0.731 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.125 2 |
Table 7
Water and land resources carrying capacity comprehensive monitoring and early warning results in Tibet Autonomous Region from 2005 to 2014"
年份 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
监测预警结果 | 1.882 | 1.387 | 1.480 | 1.444 | 1.943 | 1.364 | 1.990 | 2.570 | 3.012 | 3.187 |
监测预警等级 | 橙色 | 橙色 | 橙色 | 橙色 | 橙色 | 橙色 | 橙色 | 黄色 | 蓝色 | 蓝色 |
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