黄河流域水资源利用时空演变特征及驱动要素

doi:10.18402/resci.2020.12.01

Abstract

Abstract:

Along with the rapid population growth and socioeconomic development, the Yellow River Basin (YRB) in China is facing water scarcity. Given limited water resources availability in the YRB in the semi-arid and arid regions, water resources management on the demand side is essential for sustainable development in the region. Previous studies on driving forces of water use were mostly based on administrative units. In this study, we analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns and change of water use in the YRB in 2003-2015 at the second-order basin scale. In addition, we examined the main influencing factors that drive the temporal and spatial changes of water use using the logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) method. The results indicated that the total water use in the YRB represented 8.0%~9.3% of the total water use in China. The total water use in the YRB exhibited an increasing trend, while water use per capita showed a decreasing trend. The main driving factors for the spatial evolution of water use in different second-order basins were different. The increasing water uses in the second-order YRBs were mainly attributed to population growth and per capita GDP increase, whereas water use efficiency improvement and industrial structure upgrading contributed to offsetting increasing water use. Per capita water uses in the second-order basins showed large spatial heterogeneity. The spatial LMDI results showd that water use intensity was the largest contributor to the spatial difference of per capita water uses. The effects of all the contributing factors to the spatial differences of per capita water use tended to decrease with time. The results are useful in informing relevant policies towards sustainable water use and management in the YRB.

Key words: water resources management, Yellow River Basin, logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI), water use, socioeconomic factors

SUN Siao, TANG Qiuhong. Spatiotemporal patterns and driving factors of water resources use in the Yellow River Basin[J].Resources Science, 2020, 42(12): 2261-2273.

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References 30

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二级流域	面积/km²	流域内用水量/ （亿m³/年）	流域外取水/ （亿m³/年）	流域内农业用水占比/%	流域内工业用水占比/%	流域内生活用水占比/%	人口/ 万人	GDP/ （亿元/年）	农业GDP 占比/%	工业GDP 占比/%
龙羊峡以上	131341	2.2	0	83.8	5.5	10.4	113.0	836.9	10.7	53.2
龙羊峡至兰州	91090	34.0	0	66.3	20.9	11.2	968.3	2746.4	12.1	45.9
兰州至河口镇	152581	178.9	2.1	86.0	8.4	4.0	1911.7	8012.4	9.0	49.3
河口镇至龙门	122335	18.2	0	60.2	22.5	14.5	1094.0	5975.2	8.9	53.2
龙门至三门峡	191108	102.1	0.2	62.7	18.0	17.1	5384.6	13217.9	9.8	52.6
三门峡至花园口	41694	23.6	14.0	49.5	32.9	15.0	2220.7	11620.5	7.1	54.3
花园口以下	22621	44.8	81.1	77.5	9.9	8.1	2477.8	12926.8	7.3	55.3
内流区	42270	4.4	0	85.6	8.2	3.9	49.1	1875.6	7.0	59.3
黄河流域	795040	408.2	97.3	74.2	13.9	9.3	14219.2	57211.6	8.5	53.1

年份	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
流域年用水总量/亿m³	429.1	444.2	464.9	512.1	484.9	491.0	524.5	512.1	564.2	523.5	514.8	534.8	570.1
流域外年用水/亿m³	73.0	68.1	69.7	96.6	85.5	92.5	102.1	105.8	115.7	112.5	107.6	116.7	119.4
人均年用水量/m³	321.6	340.6	356.6	345.3	306.7	285.2	283.3	252.4	275.2	251.2	248.9	254.8	278.0

流域	用水总量		人均用水量
流域	Z	p-value/%	Z	p-value/%
龙羊峡以上	2.2	1.40	-3.6	0.02
龙羊峡至兰州	-2.6	0.44	-4.1	0.00
兰州至河口镇	1.2	12.32	-2.3	1.20
河口镇至龙门	3.5	0.03	0.2	42.74
龙门至三门峡	3.7	0.01	2.7	0.30
三门峡至花园口	0.9	18.01	-2.5	0.62
花园口以下	2.6	0.44	-2.7	0.30
内流区	2.1	1.90	1.5	6.36
黄河流域整体	3.0	0.14	-3.0	0.14

Spatiotemporal patterns and driving factors of water resources use in the Yellow River Basin

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