Resources Science ›› 2020, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (9): 1692-1703.doi: 10.18402/resci.2020.09.05
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LI Min(), CHEN Yao, TANG Peng(
), FENG Yue
Received:
2019-12-16
Revised:
2020-04-20
Online:
2020-09-25
Published:
2020-11-25
Contact:
TANG Peng
E-mail:lim36@163.com;tp2han@163.com
LI Min, CHEN Yao, TANG Peng, FENG Yue. Influence of family life cycle on farming households’ willingness to exit rural residential land[J].Resources Science, 2020, 42(9): 1692-1703.
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Table 2
Variable selection and definition"
变量 | 变量定义与赋值 | 均值 | 标准差 | 预期影响 |
---|---|---|---|---|
因变量 | ||||
宅基地退出意愿 | 愿意退出=1,不愿意退出=0 | 0.78 | 0.42 | |
关键解释变量 | ||||
家庭生命周期 | ||||
成长核心家庭(参照组) | 0 | 0.24 | 0.42 | |
成熟核心家庭 | 成熟核心家庭=1,其他类型家庭=0 | 0.21 | 0.41 | |
扩大家庭Ⅰ | 扩大家庭Ⅰ=1,其他类型家庭=0 | 0.33 | 0.47 | |
扩大家庭Ⅱ | 扩大家庭Ⅱ=1,其他类型家庭=0 | 0.14 | 0.35 | |
萎缩家庭 | 萎缩家庭=1,其他类型家庭=0 | 0.08 | 0.27 | |
住宅需求 | ||||
人均宅基地面积 | 家庭宅基地总面积/总人数,单位:m2/人 | 78.12 | 74.25 | – |
城镇购房 | 是=1,否=0 | 0.11 | 0.31 | + |
劳动分工 | ||||
人均承包地面积 | 家庭承包地总面积/总人数,单位:亩/人 | 0.54 | 0.52 | – |
兼业程度 | 完全农业=1;农业为主=2;非农为主=3;完全非农=4 | 3.27 | 0.86 | + |
承包地流转 | 是=1,否=0 | 0.54 | 0.50 | + |
供养负担 | ||||
供养比 | 未就业人数/总人数×100,单位:% | 0.37 | 0.25 | – |
家庭年纯收入 | ≤0.5万元=1, (0.5万元,1万元]=2, (1万元,1.5万元]=3, (1.5万元,3万元]=4, (3万元,5万元]=5, (5万元,7万元]=6, (7万元,9万元]=7,>9万元=8 | 3.79 | 2.01 | + |
控制变量 | ||||
个人特征 | ||||
性别 | 男=1,女=0 | 0.53 | 0.55 | +/– |
年龄 | 单位:岁 | 55.45 | 12.62 | + |
文化程度 | 小学及以下=1, 初中=2, 高中(职校、中专)=3, 本科(大专)及以上=4 | 1.57 | 0.76 | + |
政策因素 | ||||
补偿安置政策合理性 | 非常不合理=1, 不太合理=2, 一般=3, 比较合理=4, 非常合理=5 | 3.11 | 1.06 | + |
退出程序规范性 | 非常不规范=1, 不太规范=2, 一般=3, 比较规范=4, 非常规范=5 | 3.52 | 1.05 | + |
村庄环境 | ||||
村庄与城镇中心距离 | 单位:km | 3.36 | 1.86 | + |
Table 3
Sample composition and basic characteristics"
家庭特征 | 成长核心家庭 | 成熟核心家庭 | 扩大家庭Ⅰ | 扩大家庭Ⅱ | 萎缩家庭 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
样本数/户 | 160 | 143 | 223 | 97 | 55 |
频率/% | 23.60 | 21.09 | 32.89 | 14.31 | 8.11 |
宅基地退出意愿 | 0.68 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
人均宅基地面积/(m2/人) | 81.81 | 82.13 | 67.28 | 63.17 | 127.33 |
城镇购房 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.13 |
人均承包地面积/(亩/人) | 0.46 | 0.72 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.80 |
兼业程度 | 3.35 | 3.31 | 3.34 | 3.36 | 2.51 |
承包地流转 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.48 | 0.36 |
供养比/% | 44.89 | 24.24 | 43.95 | 29.94 | 33.21 |
家庭年纯收入 | 4.06 | 3.56 | 4.00 | 4.35 | 1.78 |
Table 4
Model results of family life cycle influencing farming households’ willingness to exit rural residential land"
变量 | 模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 模型4 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | exp(B) | B | exp(B) | B | exp(B) | B | exp(B) | ||
家庭生命周期 | 成熟核心家庭 | 1.06*** | 2.89 | 1.06*** | 2.92 | 1.06*** | 2.88 | 1.05*** | 2.84 |
扩大家庭Ⅰ | 0.66*** | 1.93 | 0.59** | 1.80 | 0.55** | 1.73 | 0.54** | 1.72 | |
扩大家庭Ⅱ | 0.51 | 1.67 | 0.43 | 1.54 | 0.43 | 1.54 | 0.41 | 1.51 | |
萎缩家庭 | 1.19** | 3.27 | 1.00** | 2.72 | 1.04** | 2.82 | 1.01** | 2.74 | |
住宅需求 | 人均宅基地面积 | -0.00** | 1.00 | -0.00** | 1.00 | -0.00* | 1.00 | -0.00* | 1.00 |
城镇购房 | 0.39 | 1.48 | 0.35 | 1.43 | 0.25 | 1.29 | 0.25 | 1.29 | |
劳动分工 | 人均承包地面积 | 0.66*** | 1.93 | 0.69*** | 2.00 | 0.66*** | 1.94 | 0.68*** | 1.98 |
兼业程度 | 0.24* | 1.27 | 0.24* | 1.27 | 0.24* | 1.27 | 0.23* | 1.26 | |
承包地流转 | 0.58*** | 1.79 | 0.51** | 1.67 | 0.46** | 1.58 | 0.45** | 1.57 | |
供养负担 | 供养人数占总人数比 | 0.11 | 1.12 | 0.07 | 1.07 | -0.04 | 0.96 | -0.05 | 0.95 |
家庭年纯收入 | 0.15*** | 1.17 | 0.16*** | 1.18 | 0.17*** | 1.18 | 0.17*** | 1.19 | |
个人特征 | 性别 | -0.65*** | 0.52 | -0.76*** | 0.47 | -0.76*** | 0.47 | ||
年龄 | 0.01 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 1.01 | |||
文化程度 | 0.22 | 1.25 | 0.13 | 1.14 | 0.13 | 1.13 | |||
政策因素 | 补偿安置政策合理性 | 0.49*** | 1.63 | 0.49*** | 1.63 | ||||
退出程序规范性 | 0.27*** | 1.31 | 0.26*** | 1.30 | |||||
村庄环境 | 村庄与城镇距离 | -0.03 | 0.96 | ||||||
常量 | -1.14** | 0.32 | -1.74** | 0.18 | -3.79*** | 0.02 | -3.65*** | 0.03 | |
Cox & Snell R2 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.14 | |||||
Negelkerke R2 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.22 |
Table 5
Farming households’ willingness to exit rural residential land in different life cycle stages"
变量 | 成长核心家庭 | 成熟核心家庭 | 扩大家庭Ⅰ | 扩大家庭Ⅱ | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
住宅需求 | 人均宅基地面积 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
城镇购房 | -0.22 | 0.02 | 1.08 | 0.49 | |
就业配置 | 人均承包地面积 | 0.97 | 1.01 | 0.47 | 0.15 |
兼业程度 | 0.92*** | -0.60 | 0.04 | 0.59 | |
承包地流转 | 0.78 | 1.58** | 0.20 | -0.58 | |
供养负担 | 供养比 | 0.09 | 0.24 | -0.79 | -0.90 |
家庭年纯收入 | 0.37*** | 0.16 | 0.18* | 0.02 | |
控制变量 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | 控制 | |
总样本 | 160 | 143 | 223 | 97 |
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