Resources Science ›› 2020, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (6): 1210-1222.doi: 10.18402/resci.2020.06.17
FANG Yan1(), Daniel SCOTT2, Robert STEIGER3, WU Bihu4(
), JIANG Yiyi1
Received:
2019-07-25
Revised:
2020-01-16
Online:
2020-06-25
Published:
2020-08-25
Contact:
WU Bihu
E-mail:yanfang113@126.com;tigerwu@urban.pku.edu.cn
FANG Yan, Daniel SCOTT, Robert STEIGER, WU Bihu, JIANG Yiyi. Impact of snow-making technology improvement on ski season length in China under climate change[J].Resources Science, 2020, 42(6): 1210-1222.
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Table 4
Projected changes in ski season length under different climate change scenarios (%)"
区域 | 省份 | RCP 4.5 | RCP 8.5 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020s | 2050s | 2080s | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s | |||||||||||||
现有技术 | 提升技术 | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | 现有技术 | 提升技术 | |||||||
华北 | 北京 | -19 | -7 | -61 | -21 | -80 | -39 | -22 | -8 | -79 | -37 | -97 | -86 | |||||
山西 | -8 | -4 | -23 | -11 | -40 | -16 | -8 | -5 | -40 | -17 | -68 | -54 | ||||||
天津 | -5 | -4 | -14 | -10 | -22 | -15 | -6 | -5 | -23 | -16 | -64 | -35 | ||||||
内蒙古 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -4 | -6 | -6 | -1 | 0 | -6 | -6 | -13 | -12 | ||||||
河北 | -7 | -3 | -15 | -7 | -20 | -13 | -7 | -2 | -19 | -13 | -31 | -27 | ||||||
东北 | 黑龙江 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -3 | -5 | -4 | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | -10 | -8 | |||||
吉林 | -2 | -1 | -5 | -3 | -9 | -6 | -2 | -1 | -9 | -5 | -17 | -14 | ||||||
辽宁 | -4 | -4 | -13 | -10 | -19 | -13 | -6 | -5 | -19 | -14 | -33 | -32 | ||||||
西北 | 新疆 | -2 | -2 | -5 | -4 | -7 | -6 | -2 | -2 | -8 | -6 | -16 | -13 | |||||
甘肃 | -5 | -3 | -9 | -8 | -13 | -12 | -4 | -3 | -13 | -11 | -25 | -22 | ||||||
宁夏 | -3 | -3 | -10 | -10 | -14 | -14 | -3 | -4 | -14 | -14 | -30 | -25 | ||||||
青海 | -1 | -1 | -5 | -4 | -8 | -6 | -6 | -2 | -8 | -6 | -21 | -17 | ||||||
陕西 | -8 | -5 | -23 | -11 | -34 | -17 | -9 | -6 | -36 | -17 | -65 | -41 | ||||||
华东 | 山东 | -18 | -7 | -54 | -23 | -76 | -39 | -23 | -7 | -75 | -38 | -95 | -85 | |||||
华中 | 河南 | -21 | -8 | -51 | -20 | -66 | -33 | -22 | -8 | -68 | -35 | -92 | -75 |
Table 5
Increase in ski season length with improved snowmaking technology (d)"
区域 | 省份 | RCP 4.5 | RCP 8.5 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020s | 2050s | 2080s | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s | |||
华北 | 北京 | 29 | 47 | 45 | 31 | 46 | 12 | |
山西 | 13 | 22 | 34 | 13 | 33 | 20 | ||
天津 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 35 | ||
内蒙古 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | ||
河北 | 15 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 12 | ||
东北 | 黑龙江 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
吉林 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 8 | ||
辽宁 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 10 | ||
西北 | 新疆 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | |
甘肃 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | ||
宁夏 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 15 | ||
青海 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 10 | ||
陕西 | 13 | 23 | 29 | 14 | 31 | 34 | ||
华东 | 山东 | 32 | 41 | 41 | 34 | 41 | 11 | |
华中 | 河南 | 32 | 42 | 41 | 32 | 41 | 19 |
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