Resources Science ›› 2018, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (4): 729-736.doi: 10.18402/resci.2018.04.07

• Orginal Article • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Driving force evolution of land use change in a border trade area of China

Zhengwei LIU1,2(), Meichen FU1(), Qian DING1,2   

  1. 1. School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China
    2. The State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
  • Received:2017-08-09 Revised:2017-12-25 Online:2018-05-02 Published:2018-05-02


Analyses of land use change driving force is of great significance to understanding the mechanisms of land use change and land use planning. The rapid development of border trade has changed land use structure in border areas. Therefore, the study of driving forces of land use change under the development of border trade becomes increasingly important. We focused on Suifenhe city as a typical case and used landsat images for 1990, 2000, 2011 and 2016, and DEM data and socio-economic statistics. Canonical correlation analysis and a binary logistic regression model were used to analyze the evolution of land use change under rapid development of border trade from two aspects: time macro and spatial microcosmic. We found that the main explanatory variables of cultivated land area change are agricultural total output in the early period and total fixed assets investment and gross national product in the later period. The explanatory variables of forest area changed from the previous period to imports and the latter to exports and international tourist numbers. During the early period of border trade development the main explanatory factor of built-up land is gross fixed asset formation, late due to changes in border trade structure; gross industrial production accounted for this leading role. Topographic conditions have always been an important factor limiting land use pattern in Suifenhe. After 2000 and the establishment of the China-Russia Sui-Bo inter-city trade zone, the border economic cooperation zone and the Suifenhe Comprehensive Bonded Zone have attracted built-up land and impacted land use patterns. The analysis of land use change in Suifenhe enriches research into border cities and provides consultation and suggestions for local sustainable development.

Key words: driving force of land use change, canonical correlation analysis, binary logistic regression model, border trade area, Suifenhe City