农地流转农户心理决策模型研究

doi:10.18402/resci.2017.05.02

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on questionnaire data from rural households in Suzhou , Jieshou , Langxi , Feixi and Fengyang of Anhui Province,the behavioral intention of households to participate in farmland transfer was analyzed from the perspective of internal psychological characteristics using theory of planned behavior and structural equation modeling. We found that during the decision-making of farmland transfer,households' attitudes toward behavior,subjective norms and perceived behavioral control have significant effects on decision-making. For these three influencing factors,attitudes toward behavior has the greatest effect,the perceived behavioral control has a minor effect and subjective norms have the smallest effect. The attitudes toward behavior are mainly based on the instrumental attitude influence, transfer benefit and sustainable livelihoods are the major factors to formulate attitudes toward behavior. Perceived behavioral control affects willingness expression and directly affects behavioral occurrence. In subjective norms,the group's opinion has the greatest effect,so the design of transfer policies should pay more attention to grassroot self-governing organizations. Household transfer behavior and willingness are mostly the same,some differences are mainly due to the moderating effect of objective factors such as family resource endowment, market environment and policy systems.

Key words: farmland transfer, farmer households' willingness and behavior, Psychological Decision-making Model, Theory of Planned Behavior, Structural Equation Modeling

Jian CHENG, Jiumiao CHENG, Luocheng FEI, Yuting XU, Yihu ZHOU. Modeling of farmer household psychological decision-making in farmland transfer[J].Resources Science, 2017, 39(5): 818-826.

Figures/Tables 4

Table 1

Table 2

Table 3

Figure 1

References 28

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潜变量	观察变量	变量编号
行为态度	流转收益可观,我会流转	AB1
	流转对村集体农业发展有利,我会流转	AB2
	农地产权稳定,我会流转	AB3
	可持续生计有保障,我会流转	AB4
	流转程序规范,我会流转	AB5
	转出地无非农化,我会流转	AB6
主观规范	家庭成员多数赞成,我会流转	SN1
	邻里流转了,我会流转	SN2
	村组支持,我会流转	SN3
	政府相关部门支持,我会流转	SN4
知觉行为控制	家庭农业劳动力短缺,我会流转	PBC1
	对流转政策熟悉,我会流转	PBC2
	对流转具有绝对控制权,我会流转	PBC3
	有再就业机会,我会流转	PBC4
	有转入方需求,我会流转	PBC5
	田间基础设施差,我会流转	PBC6
	耕地质量差,我会流转	PBC7
	流转服务完善,我会流转	PBC8

观察变量	因素负荷量	信度系数	测量误差	组合信度	平均方差抽取值
AB1	0.890	0.792	0.208
AB2	0.718	0.516	0.484
AB3	0.724	0.524	0.476
AB4	0.865	0.748	0.252
AB5	0.828	0.686	0.314
AB6	0.722	0.521	0.479	0.911	0.631
SN1	0.737	0.543	0.457
SN2	0.773	0.598	0.402
SN3	0.851	0.724	0.276
SN4	0.724	0.524	0.476	0.855	0.597
PBC1	0.843	0.711	0.289
PBC2	0.724	0.524	0.476
PBC3	0.735	0.540	0.460
PBC4	0.860	0.740	0.260
PBC5	0.748	0.560	0.440
PBC6	0.830	0.689	0.311
PBC7	0.834	0.696	0.304
PBC8	0.822	0.676	0.324	0.935	0.642

统计检验量	适配度标准或临界值	模型修正前	模型修正后
绝对适配度指数
χ²值	p>0.05（未达显著水平）	64.031（p=0.586>0.05）	56.425（p=0.814>0.05）
RMR值	<0.05	0.032	0.025
RMSEA	<0.05优良;<0.08良好	0.038	0.011
GFI	>0.90	0.902	0.953
AGFI	>0.90	0.927	0.963
增值适配度指数
NFI	>0.90	0.957	0.967
RFI	>0.90	0.951	0.964
IFI	>0.90	0.963	0.989
TLI（NNFI）	>0.90	0.974	0.991
CFI	>0.90	0.933	0.948
简约适配度指数
PGFI	>0.50	0.698	0.665
PNFI	>0.50	0.716	0.715
PCFI	>0.50	0.743	0.701
χ²自由度比	<2.00	1.000	0.896
AIC	理论模型值小于独立模型值,且同时小于饱和模型值	115.031<149.412 115.031<1 546.454	107.425<149.412 107.425<1 546.454
CAIC	理论模型值小于独立模型值,且同时小于饱和模型值	235.048<485.298 235.048<1 512.823	214.312<485.298 214.312<1 512.823

Modeling of farmer household psychological decision-making in farmland transfer

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