Resources Science ›› 2017, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (3): 566-576.doi: 10.18402/resci.2017.03.18

• Orginal Article • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Assessment and spatial differentiation of China’s marine economic system stability

Zeyu WANG1(), Han LU1, Caizhi SUN1, Zenglin HAN1, Kang SUN1, Xiaofei Dong2   

  1. 1.Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development of Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,China
    2. Economics Actuarial-Oriented of The Chinese Communist Party Liaoning Provincial Party Committee Party School,Shenyang 110004,China
  • Received:2016-06-12 Revised:2016-12-20 Online:2017-03-20 Published:2017-03-20

Abstract:

A complicated international environment,arduous domestic reform,development tasks and pressure to stabilize growth during the 13th Five Year Plan,China’s marine economy needs to resist disturbances and maintain stability and development. Based on marine system economic stability,an evaluation index system was established at two levels:immunity and resilience. The stability index of the marine economic system in 11 provinces along the east coast (excluding Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)calculated by means of comprehensive evaluation modeling. We found that the stability index of China’s marine economic system between 2011 and 2013 changed slightly,while variation around 2003 and 2009 was obvious. Local differences in China’s marine economic systematic stability is significant. Systematic stability in Guangdong and Shandong is stable while those in Hainan and Guangxi are the least stable. The system in Shanghai and Zhejiang has higher stability; that in Liaoning and Hebei shows lower stability. Systematic stability in Tianjin,Fujian and Jiangsu is moderate. There is a close positive correlation between the stability of China’s marine economic system and marine developing levels. An obstacle degree model was introduced to analyze obstruction factors affecting the stability of China’s marine economic system quantitatively. Pertinent directions for marine economic development are discussed.

Key words: marine economy system, stability, spatial heterogeneity, comprehensive assessment