2000-2012年中国地级以上城市空间弹性分析

doi:10.18402/resci.2016.07.07

Abstract

Abstract:

China is experiencing rapid urbanization and land urbanization and population urbanization have led to urban land sprawl and low-efficiency land use. Analysis of urban spatial resilience and regional differences is of significance for urban spatial planning in China. During urban development,changes in urban construction land area and population cause changes in urban population density over time,reflecting change in urban spatial resilience. We selected 263 cities at the prefecture level and above,and used total population at the year-end and urban construction land area to calculate population density,to calculate the rate of change in density using indicators rank scoring methods to determine urban spatial resilience indicators. We found that all cities can be divided into higher spatial resilience,high spatial resilience,medium spatial resilience,less spatial resilience and low spatial resilience using the natural breaks classification method. Urban spatial resilience decreases from east to west and the highest proportion of higher spatial resilience cities are in eastern China. In central China,high and medium spatial resilience cities are found at a higher proportion. In western China,cities of medium and lower spatial resilience are more common. Along with the urban development,China’s urban population density reduced but urban spatial resilience increased,particularly 2000 to 2006. From the five urban agglomerations in China it is clear that economically developed areas have higher spatial resilience,but the cores of urban agglomerations have medium or low spatial resilience. The application of urban spatial resilience analysis can assist in the design and definition of urban growth boundaries in China.

Key words: China, population density, spatial planning, spatial resilience, urban growth boundary

JIAO Limin,DONG Ting,GU Yanyan. The spatial resilience of prefecture-level cities in China from 2000 to 2012[J].Resources Science, 2016, 38(7): 1254-1265.

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地区	城市（得分）	人口密度(人/km²)		建成区面积/km²		人口密度变化率/%	建成区面积变化率/%
地区	城市（得分）	2000年	2012年			2000年	2012年
东北地区	承德（25）白山（12）	12 492 14 582	4 793 11 347	35 23	113 36	-61.63 -22.19	222.86 56.52
东部地区	苏州（20）南京（15）	15 636 18 031	6 372 8 687	86 201	437 653	-59.25 -51.82	408.14 224.88
中部地区	许昌（21）黄石（14）	14 935 13 619	6 076 10 115	25 48	80 72	-59.32 -25.73	220.00 50.00
南部地区	云浮（26）佛山（10）	14 535 20 774	3 186 13 632	18 10	71 37	-78.08 -34.38	294.44 318.92
西部地区	乌鲁木齐（19）天水（9）	12 524 35 843	7 781 14 820	140 32	384 46	-37.87 -58.65	174.29 43.75

空间弹性	城市个数/个					占城市的百分比/%
空间弹性	京津冀	珠三角	长三角	成渝	长中游	京津冀	珠三角	长三角	成渝	长中游
高弹性	1	1	4	0	2	7.69	11.11	16.67	0.00	15.38
较高弹性	3	2	9	3	3	23.08	22.22	37.50	15.79	23.08
中等弹性	5	0	7	7	2	38.46	0.00	29.17	36.84	15.38
较低弹性	1	3	3	8	5	7.69	33.33	12.50	42.11	38.46
低弹性	3	3	1	1	1	23.08	33.33	4.17	5.26	7.69

空间弹性	2000年人均GDP	2012年人均GDP	2000年GDP	2012年GDP	第二产业增长率	第三产业增长率
R	0.131**	0.282**	-0.236**	-0.248**	0.139*	-0.013
P	0.034	0.000	0.184	0.200	0.000	0.297

城市名（得分）	人口密度(人/km²)		密度变化率	城市名（得分）	人口密度(人/km²)		密度变化率	城市名（得分）	人口密度(人/km²)		密度变化率
城市名（得分）	2012年		密度变化率	2000年			2012年	城市名（得分）	2000年	2012年	2000年
上海（5）	26 088	26 867	2.99	武汉（11）	24 808	12 068	-51.36	成都（15）	18 760	8 882	-52.65
郑州（8）	19 469	15 862	-18.53	贵阳（12）	24 227	11 057	-54.36	南京（15）	18 031	8 687	-51.82
北京（9）	23 585	14 145	-40.03	厦门（13）	25 037	10 337	-58.71	杭州（17）	13 849	8 051	-41.87
沈阳（10）	24 438	12 557	-48.62	广州（14）	19 779	10 050	-49.19	苏州（20）	15 636	6 372	-59.25
深圳（11）	51 536	12 222	-76.28	西安（14）	23 965	9 425	-60.67

The spatial resilience of prefecture-level cities in China from 2000 to 2012

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