东北振兴与俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区开发战略契合机制研究

doi:10.18402/resci.2019.01.05

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

在中蒙俄经济走廊建设、东北振兴、俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区开发等区域发展战略背景下,加强东北地区与俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区的契合机制研究,对促进上述地区共赢发展具有重要意义。本文综合评估了东北地区与俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区的经济发展水平,得出东北地区的经济总量水平、工业化水平和基础设施水平远高于俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区,但对外开放程度和经济增长潜力低于俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区。基于此,本文深入分析了上述地区在经济发展需求、资源优势、产能需求、区域发展战略等方面的契合性。指出,加强东北地区与俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区的合作一方面将缓解东北地区经济下行、资源枯竭、产能过剩等问题,促进东北地区经济复苏;另一方面也将极大地促进俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区的经济发展。现阶段双方应重点围绕交通基础设施互联互通、能矿资源、口岸建设、优势产能、农业和劳务6大重点领域优先开展合作。

关键词: 东北振兴, 俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区开发战略, 契合机制, 优先合作重点

Abstract:

Under regional development strategies such as the construction of China—Mongolia—Russia Economic Corridor, the revitalization of Northeast China and the development of Russian Far East and Baikal region, strengthening coordination mechanism study between Northeast China and Russian Far East and Baikal region is of great significance to promote the mutual development of the above regions. This paper comprehensively evaluates the economic development level of Northeast China and Russian Far East and Baikal Region. It is concluded that the economic aggregate level, industrialization level, and infrastructure level of Northeast China is much higher than that of Russian Far East and Baikal Region. However, the degree of opening—up and economic growth potential is lower than that of Russian Far East and Baikal Region. Based on this, the current study deeply analyzed the coordination of Northeast China and Russian Far East and Baikal region in the aspects of economic development demand, resource advantage, production capacity demand, and regional development strategies. It is found that the economic development demand, resource advantage, production capacity demand, and regional development strategies are highly coordinated. Strengthening cooperation between Northeast China and Russian Far East and Baikal region will not only alleviate the problems of economic downturn, resource exhaustion, and production overcapacity in Northeast China, promote its economic recovery, but also greatly promote the economic development of Russian Far East and Baikal region. Then, six cooperation priorities between Northeast China and Russian Far East and Baikal region including the interconnectivity of transportation infrastructure, energy and mineral resources cooperation, ports construction, superior productivity cooperation, agricultural cooperation, and labor service cooperation are proposed. This study will provide scientific support and theoretical guidance for the practical cooperation between Northeast China and Russian Far East and Baikal region.

Key words: Revitalization of Northeast China, Development of Russian Far East and Baikal region, coordination mechanism, cooperation priorities

杨洋, 董锁成, 李富佳, 程昊, 刘倩, 李泽红, 李宇. 东北振兴与俄罗斯远东和贝加尔地区开发战略契合机制研究[J]. 资源科学, 2019, 41(1): 43-52.

Yang YANG, Suocheng DONG, Fujia LI, Hao CHENG, Qian LIU, Zehong LI, Yu LI. Study on the coordination mechanism between strategies of Northeast China revitalization and development of RussianFar East and Baikal region[J]. Resources Science, 2019, 41(1): 43-52.

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一级指标	二级指标	三级指标	单位
经济发展水平	经济总量水平	GDP	亿美元
		固定资产投资	亿美元
		第一产业增加值	亿美元
		第二产业增加值	亿美元
		第三产业增加值	亿美元
	工业化水平	人均GDP	美元/人
	工业化水平	制造业增加值占总商品增加值的比例	%
	基础设施水平	铁路路网密度	km/万km²
	基础设施水平	公路路网密度	km/万km²
	对外开放程度	外商直接投资占固定资产投资的比例	%
		出口贸易额占GDP的比例	%
		进口贸易额占GDP的比例	%
	经济增长潜力	GDP增速	%
		人口增长率	%
		森林面积	万hm²
		研究开发人员数量	人/万人
		能源资源	1~10分
		矿产资源	1~10分

	经济总量水平	工业化水平	基础设施水平	对外开放程度	经济增长潜力	经济发展水平
辽宁省	0.476 8	0.068 3	0.126 3	0.023 6	0.050 9	0.745 8
吉林省	0.270 3	0.057 4	0.080 7	0.006 4	0.058 2	0.473 0
黑龙江省	0.294 6	0.034 7	0.047 0	0.004 6	0.070 0	0.450 9
伊尔库茨克州	0.013 0	0.026 9	0.002 4	0.073 3	0.127 1	0.242 8
布里亚特共和国	0.002 0	0.025 1	0.002 4	0.085 0	0.110 2	0.224 7
外贝加尔边疆区	0.002 8	0.006 1	0.006 1	0.024 1	0.094 3	0.133 3
阿穆尔州	0.001 7	0.000 0	0.009 8	0.034 8	0.083 2	0.129 5
犹太自治州	0.000 0	0.011 5	0.021 6	0.061 9	0.006 1	0.101 2
哈巴罗夫斯克边疆区	0.007 1	0.032 0	0.000 0	0.060 5	0.101 1	0.200 6
滨海边疆区	0.009 7	0.027 1	0.031 7	0.102 7	0.085 1	0.256 3

	前工业化阶段	初期阶段	中期阶段	后期阶段	后工业化阶段
人均GDP/1970年美元	140~280	280~560	560~1 120	1 120~2 100	>2 100
人均GDP/2004年美元	720~1 440	1 440~2 880	2 880~5 760	5 760~10 180	>11 810
人均GDP/2015年美元	913~1 826	1 826~3 653	3 653~7 306	7 306~13 711	>13 711
制造业增加值占总商品增加值比重/%	<20	20~40	40~50	50~60	>60