资源科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (1): 1-11.doi: 10.18402/resci.2021.01.01
• 资源管理 • 下一篇
收稿日期:
2020-02-09
修回日期:
2020-10-31
出版日期:
2021-01-25
发布日期:
2021-03-25
作者简介:
李旭,男,湖南汉寿人,博士研究生,研究方向为新兴产业与创新战略。E-mail: 基金资助:
Received:
2020-02-09
Revised:
2020-10-31
Online:
2021-01-25
Published:
2021-03-25
摘要:
“双积分”政策目的在于促进新能源汽车产业经营绩效与环境绩效的同步增长。以中国新能源乘用车(整车)上市公司作为研究样本,将“双积分”政策划分为酝酿期(2014—2016年)和实施期(2017—2018年),从显著性、敏捷性和稳定性3个维度,分析了“双积分”政策影响下新能源车企经营绩效与环境绩效的动态变化特征。结果表明:①“双积分”政策在酝酿期便提前释放出了积极作用,环境绩效增长更显著、更稳定,经营绩效政策响应更敏捷;②“双积分”政策在实施期的积极作用进一步增强,经营绩效增长更显著,环境绩效政策响应更敏捷,增长也更稳定。政策制定者在完善和优化“双积分”政策时要善于利用政策信号释放机制,进一步提高和扩大“双积分”政策的适应性、覆盖面和精准度,把握好政策实施和执行的节奏和力度。
李旭, 熊勇清. 新能源汽车“双积分”政策影响的阶段性特征——经营与环境双重绩效视角[J]. 资源科学, 2021, 43(1): 1-11.
LI Xu, XIONG Yongqing. Characteristics of the impact of corporate average fuel consumption-new energy vehicle credits (CAFC-NEV) mandate on the new energy vehicle industry: From the perspective of business and environmental performances[J]. Resources Science, 2021, 43(1): 1-11.
表3
“双积分”政策效应系数的GMM估计结果"
自变量(滞后期数) | 酝酿期 | 实施期 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
经营绩效(BP)模型 | 环境绩效 (EP)模型 | 经营绩效(BP)模型 | 环境绩效 (EP)模型 | ||||
市场绩效 (MP)模型 | 技术绩效 (TP)模型 | 市场绩效 (MP)模型 | 技术绩效 (TP)模型 | ||||
MP(-1) | 0.827*** (0.054) | 0.672 (0.076) | |||||
TP(-1) | 0.694*** (0.156) | 0.928 (0.609) | |||||
EP(-1) | 0.422* (0.202) | 0.047 (0.058) | |||||
EP(-2) | 0.021 (0.014) | 0.007 (0.019) | |||||
CNM(-1) | 10-4** (0.000) | 0.035* (0.015) | 0.355*** (0.020) | 0.466*** (0.109) | 0.643** (0.219) | 0.571* (0.226) | |
CNM(-2) | 0.435*** (0.098) | 0.173 (0.118) |
表4
“双积分”政策促进新能源车企双重绩效增长的方差分解结果"
绩效增长贡献 | 经营绩效(BP) | 环境绩效(EP) | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
市场绩效(MP) | 技术绩效(TP) | ||||||||||||||
MP | CNM | 环比/% | 同比/% | TP | CNM | 环比/% | 同比/% | EP | CNM | 环比/% | 同比/% | ||||
改革前 | 2012 | 1.000 | 0.000 | - | - | 1.000 | 0.000 | - | - | 1.000 | 0.000 | - | - | ||
2013 | 0.986 | 0.014 | 14.0 | 1.4 | 0.830 | 0.170 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 0.962 | 0.038 | 38.0 | 3.8 | |||
酝酿期 | 2014 | 0.974 | 0.026 | 85.7 | 2.6 | 0.829 | 0.171 | 0.6 | 17.1 | 0.834 | 0.166 | 337.0 | 16.6 | ||
2015 | 0.966 | 0.034 | 30.8 | 3.4 | 0.828 | 0.172 | 0.6 | 17.2 | 0.622 | 0.378 | 128.0 | 37.8 | |||
2016 | 0.960 | 0.040 | 17.6 | 4.0 | 0.826 | 0.174 | 1.2 | 17.4 | 0.519 | 0.481 | 27.2 | 48.1 | |||
实施期 | 2017 | 0.957 | 0.043 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 0.815 | 0.185 | 6.3 | 18.5 | 0.453 | 0.547 | 13.7 | 54.7 | ||
2018 | 0.954 | 0.046 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 0.798 | 0.202 | 9.2 | 20.2 | 0.417 | 0.583 | 6.6 | 58.3 |
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