资源科学 ›› 2017, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (7): 1371-1382.doi: 10.18402/resci.2017.07.14
收稿日期:
2016-12-10
修回日期:
2017-05-05
出版日期:
2017-07-20
发布日期:
2017-07-20
作者简介:
作者简介:韩雅清,女,福建漳州人,博士生,从事林业经济、森林资源管理研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Yaqing HAN1(), Yanqiang DU2, Shipeng SU3, Yuanzhu WEI1,4(
)
Received:
2016-12-10
Revised:
2017-05-05
Online:
2017-07-20
Published:
2017-07-20
摘要:
森林碳汇是减缓全球气候变暖的有效途径之一,林农参与碳汇经营已成为学界关注的焦点。新一轮林改后小规模林农成为森林碳汇的主要供给主体,探讨农户碳汇经营意愿对于激励碳汇经营主体政策瞄准度具有重要的现实意义。本文基于Putnam的社会资本理论,利用福建省欠发达山区344户林农的微观数据,运用Logistic模型实证分析了社会资本对林农参与碳汇经营意愿的影响。研究表明:①林农参与碳汇经营意愿不高,仅36.63%的受访农户表示愿意参与;②社会资本对林农参与碳汇经营意愿具有显著的促进作用,其核心变量对碳汇经营意愿的贡献大小排序依次是关系网络>人际信任>制度信任>社会规范;③人力资本中受教育程度、物力资本中家庭纯收入、林地总面积、林地地块数也在不同程度上影响家庭林业碳汇经营意愿。社会资本被称为“穷人的资本”,尤其在欠发达山区,政府可结合林区乡土情景从其核心维度采取措施,调动林农参与碳汇经营意愿,同时考虑碳汇补偿制度中林农利益需求等。
韩雅清, 杜焱强, 苏时鹏, 魏远竹. 社会资本对林农参与碳汇经营意愿的影响分析——基于福建省欠发达山区的调查[J]. 资源科学, 2017, 39(7): 1371-1382.
Yaqing HAN, Yanqiang DU, Shipeng SU, Yuanzhu WEI. Social capital and farmer willingness for forest carbon sequestration management in underdeveloped regions of Fujian[J]. Resources Science, 2017, 39(7): 1371-1382.
表2
变量赋值与说明"
变量 | 指标选取 | 变量赋值 | 均值 | 标准差 | 预期方向 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
被解释变量 | 参与碳汇经营意愿 | 1=愿意;0=不愿意 | 0.366 | 0.482 | |
解释变量 | |||||
社会资本特征 | |||||
人际信任S1 | 对亲友邻里的信任度 | 1=非常不信任-5=非常信任 | 3.791 | 0.627 | + |
制度信任S2 | 对碳汇政策的信任度 | 1=非常不信任-5=非常信任 | 3.358 | 0.706 | + |
社会规范S3 | 因不参与集体活动受到责罚或被议论的情况 | 1=肯定会-5=肯定不会 | 4.236 | 0.679 | + |
关系网络S4 | 亲朋好友参与碳汇经营情况 | 1=是;0=否 | 0.171 | 0.378 | + |
人力资本特征 | |||||
H1 | 受教育程度/年 | 连续变量 | 6.829 | 3.294 | + |
H2 | 家庭劳动力数/人 | 连续变量 | 3.015 | 0.973 | + |
H3 | 从事林业生产的年限/年 | 连续变量 | 17.901 | 10.004 | +/- |
物力资本特征 | |||||
P1 | 家庭纯收入/万元 | 连续变量 | 4.993 | 3.814 | + |
P2 | 林地总面积/hm2 | 连续变量 | 3.027 | 3.734 | + |
P3 | 林地地块数/块 | 连续变量 | 2.486 | 1.300 | - |
控制变量 | |||||
C1 | 年龄/岁 | 连续变量 | 54.581 | 9.735 | - |
C2 | 是否村干部 | 1=是;0=否 | 0.241 | 0.428 | + |
C3 | 是否接受过林业培训 | 1=是;0=否 | 0.305 | 0.461 | + |
表3
研究区域农户的社会资本特征及参与意愿"
区域 | 人际信任 | 制度信任 | 社会规范 | 关系网络 | 参与意愿/(农户数/个) | 参与意愿/(比例%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
寿宁 | 3.66 | 3.21 | 3.79 | 0.21 | 16 | 42.11 |
延平 | 3.95 | 3.36 | 4.18 | 0.13 | 16 | 27.59 |
顺昌 | 3.71 | 3.25 | 4.39 | 0.14 | 22 | 26.83 |
建阳 | 3.78 | 3.39 | 4.32 | 0.14 | 19 | 38.00 |
尤溪 | 3.81 | 3.40 | 4.47 | 0.16 | 28 | 41.79 |
梅列 | 3.84 | 3.54 | 4.26 | 0.26 | 25 | 51.02 |
均值 | 3.791 | 3.358 | 4.236 | 0.171 | ||
合计 | 126 | 36.63 |
表4
Logistic回归估计结果"
模型1 | 模型2 | 模型3 | 边际效应/% (基于模型3) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
年龄(C1) | -0.022* (0.0114) | -0.007 (0.018) | -0.020 (0.019) | -0.308 (0.003) |
是否村干部(C2) | 0.439* (0.260) | 0.459 (0.306) | 0.641** (0.311) | 9.784** (0.046) |
是否接受过林业培训(C3) | 0.486* (0.248) | 0.170 (0.290) | 0.108 (0.309) | 1.645 (0.047) |
受教育程度(H1) | - | 0.127** (0.051) | 0.125** (0.054) | 1.915** (0.008) |
家庭劳动力数(H2) | - | 0.181 (0.139) | 0.100 0.141 | 1.522 (0.022) |
从事林业生产的年限(H3) | - | 0.005 (0.017) | 0.013 (0.017) | 0.203 (0.003) |
家庭纯收入(P1) | - | 0.315*** (0.052) | 0.353*** (0.056) | 5.397*** (0.007) |
林地总面积(P2) | - | 0.093* (0.042) | 0.075* (0.045) | 0.077* (0.001) |
林地地块数(P3) | - | -0.309*** (0.112) | -0.321*** (0.123) | -4.908*** (0.018) |
人际信任(S1) | - | - | 0.731*** (0.249) | 11.164*** (0.037) |
制度信任(S2) | - | - | 0.453** (0.201) | 6.917** (0.030) |
社会规范(S3) | - | - | 0.442* (0.236) | 6.756* (0.355) |
关系网络(S4) | - | - | 0.835** (0.346) | 12.754** (0.052) |
常量 | 0.392 (0.658) | -3.042** (1.269) | -8.701*** (1.909) | - |
Log pseudolikelihood | -220.350 | -172.404 | -160.131 | - |
Pseudo R2 | 0.025 | 0.237 | 0.291 | - |
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