关键词: 旅游经济增长, 城乡收入差距, E-G协整检验, 误差修正模型, 格兰杰因果, 中国

Abstract:

This paper depicts the regional inequality of the domestic tourism economy and the regional inequality of urban-rural income in China from 1999 to 2013 using the coefficient of population-weighted variation. We analyzed the relationship between inequality of domestic tourism economy and regional inequality of urban-rural income using the Engel-Granger Two-step Co-integration Model,Error Correction Model and Granger Causality Model. We found that tourism economic growth and urban-rural income gap is convergent in all regions. Among all regions,the trend of convergence is most significant in the national scope. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the inequality of domestic tourism expansion and inequality of urban-rural income gap in China and all other regions. Particularly,the coefficient of population-weighted variation of urban-rural income gap increased 0.631 5% while the degree of variation of tourism economy growth increased 1%. The error correction model showed that for the short-term equilibrium relationship,increasing by 1% the degree of variation tourism economic growth,increases the degree of variation of urban-rural income gap by 0.631 5%. Moreover,the more advanced the regional economy,the stronger the adjustment in long-term equilibrium in the short-term. This is because with a more stable basis and better environment for development,the expansion of tourism in these areas is more likely to have positive effects on reducing urban-rural income gaps. The results of the Granger Causality Model showed that the growth of degree of variation of the tourism economy is the cause of increasing the degree of variation of the urban-rural income gap,but not vice versa. These data show that growth in the tourism economy in China can reduce urban-rural income gaps.

Key words: domestic tourism economic growth, urban-rural income gap, Engel-Granger cointegration test, error correction model, granger causality model, China